Zagrebacka Banka (Croatia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.66
| ZABA Stock | 26.00 0.80 3.17% |
Zagrebacka |
Zagrebacka Banka Target Price Odds to finish below 8.66
The tendency of Zagrebacka Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 8.66 or more in 90 days |
| 26.00 | 90 days | 8.66 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zagrebacka Banka to drop to 8.66 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Zagrebacka Banka dd probability density function shows the probability of Zagrebacka Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zagrebacka Banka price to stay between 8.66 and its current price of 26.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zagrebacka Banka has a beta of 0.32. This usually means as returns on the market go up, Zagrebacka Banka average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zagrebacka Banka dd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zagrebacka Banka dd has an alpha of 0.3823, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Zagrebacka Banka Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Zagrebacka Banka
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zagrebacka Banka. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zagrebacka Banka Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zagrebacka Banka is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zagrebacka Banka's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zagrebacka Banka dd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zagrebacka Banka within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
Zagrebacka Banka Technical Analysis
Zagrebacka Banka's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zagrebacka Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zagrebacka Banka dd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zagrebacka Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zagrebacka Banka Predictive Forecast Models
Zagrebacka Banka's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zagrebacka Banka's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zagrebacka Banka's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Zagrebacka Banka in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Zagrebacka Banka's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Zagrebacka Banka options trading.
Additional Tools for Zagrebacka Stock Analysis
When running Zagrebacka Banka's price analysis, check to measure Zagrebacka Banka's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zagrebacka Banka is operating at the current time. Most of Zagrebacka Banka's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zagrebacka Banka's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zagrebacka Banka's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zagrebacka Banka to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.