Uscf Etf Trust Etf Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 23.35
| ZSC Etf | 23.28 0.04 0.17% |
USCF |
USCF ETF Target Price Odds to finish over 23.35
The tendency of USCF Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 23.35 or more in 90 days |
| 23.28 | 90 days | 23.35 | about 67.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of USCF ETF to move over 23.35 or more in 90 days from now is about 67.72 (This USCF ETF Trust probability density function shows the probability of USCF Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of USCF ETF Trust price to stay between its current price of 23.28 and 23.35 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.85 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon USCF ETF has a beta of 0.0137. This usually means as returns on the market go up, USCF ETF average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding USCF ETF Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally USCF ETF Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. USCF ETF Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for USCF ETF
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as USCF ETF Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of USCF ETF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
USCF ETF Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. USCF ETF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the USCF ETF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold USCF ETF Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of USCF ETF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0072 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
USCF ETF Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of USCF ETF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for USCF ETF Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily |
USCF ETF Technical Analysis
USCF ETF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. USCF Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of USCF ETF Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing USCF Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
USCF ETF Predictive Forecast Models
USCF ETF's time-series forecasting models is one of many USCF ETF's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary USCF ETF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about USCF ETF Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about USCF ETF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for USCF ETF Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily |
Check out USCF ETF Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, USCF ETF Correlation, USCF ETF Hype Analysis, USCF ETF Volatility, USCF ETF History as well as USCF ETF Performance. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
The market value of USCF ETF Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USCF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of USCF ETF's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is USCF ETF's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because USCF ETF's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect USCF ETF's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between USCF ETF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if USCF ETF is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, USCF ETF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.