CHINA EAST (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.74

ZX3 Stock  EUR 0.32  0.00  0.00%   
CHINA EAST's future price is the expected price of CHINA EAST instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CHINA EAST ED performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CHINA EAST Backtesting, CHINA EAST Valuation, CHINA EAST Correlation, CHINA EAST Hype Analysis, CHINA EAST Volatility, CHINA EAST History as well as CHINA EAST Performance.
  
Please specify CHINA EAST's target price for which you would like CHINA EAST odds to be computed.

CHINA EAST Target Price Odds to finish over 9.74

The tendency of CHINA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 9.74  or more in 90 days
 0.32 90 days 9.74 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHINA EAST to move over € 9.74  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This CHINA EAST ED probability density function shows the probability of CHINA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CHINA EAST ED price to stay between its current price of € 0.32  and € 9.74  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CHINA EAST ED has a beta of -0.0541. This usually means as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CHINA EAST are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CHINA EAST ED is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CHINA EAST ED has an alpha of 0.4221, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CHINA EAST Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CHINA EAST

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHINA EAST ED. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.323.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.333.49
Details

CHINA EAST Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHINA EAST is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHINA EAST's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHINA EAST ED, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHINA EAST within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

CHINA EAST Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CHINA EAST for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CHINA EAST ED can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CHINA EAST ED has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CHINA EAST ED had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

CHINA EAST Technical Analysis

CHINA EAST's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHINA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHINA EAST ED. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHINA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CHINA EAST Predictive Forecast Models

CHINA EAST's time-series forecasting models is one of many CHINA EAST's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHINA EAST's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CHINA EAST ED

Checking the ongoing alerts about CHINA EAST for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CHINA EAST ED help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CHINA EAST ED has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CHINA EAST ED had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in CHINA Stock

CHINA EAST financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHINA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHINA with respect to the benefits of owning CHINA EAST security.