Shenzhen Agricultural (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

000061 Stock   7.74  0.37  5.02%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Shenzhen Agricultural Products is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Shenzhen Agricultural buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 000061 positions.
  
Check out Shenzhen Agricultural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Shenzhen and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Shenzhen Agricultural Products. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Shenzhen Agricultural Buy or Sell Advice

The Shenzhen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Shenzhen Agricultural Products. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Shenzhen Agricultural Products or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Shenzhen Agricultural's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Shenzhen AgriculturalBuy Shenzhen Agricultural
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Shenzhen Agricultural Products has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2228, Jensen Alpha of 0.615, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2891, Sortino Ratio of 0.2354 and Treynor Ratio of 4.4
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Shenzhen Agricultural. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Shenzhen Agricultural is not overpriced, please validate all Shenzhen Agricultural fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, and the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Shenzhen Agricultural Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: International Genomics Conference Opens At BGI Group HQ In Shenzhen - Barchart

Shenzhen Agricultural Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Shenzhen Agricultural's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Shenzhen Agricultural's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Shenzhen Agricultural daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Shenzhen Agricultural Products price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Shenzhen Agricultural returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Shenzhen Agricultural.
Mean Return
0.64
Value At Risk
-2.39
Potential Upside
4.90
Standard Deviation
2.27
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Shenzhen Agricultural historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Shenzhen Agricultural Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid303.1M383.0M381.1M357.3M253.7M271.0M
Capital Expenditures651.3M973.3M658.4M375.0M515.1M831.3M
Net Income310.2M315.3M374.2M199.7M448.9M471.4M
Change To Inventory(80.5M)(156.7M)(201.5M)57.9M(53.7M)(56.4M)
Net Borrowings(122.1M)(478.6M)(195.3M)(286.4M)(257.8M)(244.9M)
Change To Netincome87.3M155.2M9.2M153.1M137.8M102.1M
Investments392.2M270.8M178.1M(5.5M)(441.8M)(419.7M)
Change In Cash420.3M(892.2M)143.0M(150.1M)180.7M189.8M
Depreciation423.9M442.5M509.8M491.8M542.9M501.6M
End Period Cash Flow2.3B1.4B1.5B1.4B1.6B1.3B
Free Cash Flow276.8M(274.1M)584.2M481.2M491.8M348.8M
Other Non Cash Items334.1M279.7M294.1M286.5M248.1M242.0M

Shenzhen Agricultural Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Shenzhen Agricultural or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Shenzhen Agricultural's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Shenzhen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
2.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

Shenzhen Agricultural Volatility Alert

Shenzhen Agricultural Products currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.23 and Jensen Alpha of 0.61. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Shenzhen Agricultural's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Shenzhen Agricultural's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Shenzhen Agricultural Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Shenzhen Agricultural's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Shenzhen Agricultural's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Shenzhen Agricultural and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Shenzhen Agricultural or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Shenzhen Agricultural's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shenzhen Agricultural by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Shenzhen Agricultural to competition
FundamentalsShenzhen AgriculturalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0813-0.31
Return On Asset0.0225-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.17 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.63 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.7 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders37.86 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions38.30 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.11 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.52 X11.42 X
Revenue5.49 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.21 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.25 B3.9 B
Net Income448.94 M570.98 M
Total Debt4.81 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share3.68 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.01 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.28 X3.12 X
Target Price18.23
Number Of Employees4.85 K18.84 K
Beta0.36-0.15
Market Capitalization13.05 B19.03 B
Total Asset21.28 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.25 B9.33 B
Working Capital(4.96 B)1.48 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset21.28 B
Last Dividend Paid0.11

Shenzhen Agricultural Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Shenzhen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Shenzhen Agricultural Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Shenzhen Agricultural Products? Buying financial instruments such as Shenzhen Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Shenzhen Stock

Shenzhen Agricultural financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenzhen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenzhen with respect to the benefits of owning Shenzhen Agricultural security.