Western Metal (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

002149 Stock   16.44  0.15  0.90%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Western Metal Materials is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Western Metal buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 002149 positions.
  
Check out Western Metal Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Western and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Western Metal Materials. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Western Metal Buy or Sell Advice

The Western recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Western Metal Materials. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Western Metal Materials or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Western Metal's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Western MetalBuy Western Metal
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Western Metal Materials has a Mean Deviation of 2.44, Semi Deviation of 2.21, Standard Deviation of 3.12, Variance of 9.71, Downside Variance of 6.38 and Semi Variance of 4.88
Our recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Western Metal Materials and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Western Metal Materials is not overpriced, please check out all Western Metal Materials fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, price to sales, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and price to book .

Western Metal Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Western Metal had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Western Metal is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres What We Like About Western Metal Materials Upcoming Dividend - Simply Wall St

Western Metal Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Western Metal's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Western Metal's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Western Metal daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Western Metal Materials price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Western Metal returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Western Metal.
Mean Return
0.46
Value At Risk
-3.46
Potential Upside
6.50
Standard Deviation
3.12
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Western Metal historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Western Metal Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures60.1M74.3M262.3M192.5M100.5M115.8M
Net Income61.5M79.4M133.1M184.9M196.2M206.0M
Dividends Paid85.6M90.7M116.8M98.9M146.3M85.1M
Change To Inventory(475.2M)(78.3M)(132.0M)(431.6K)(8.7M)(9.1M)
Change In Cash30.3M787.4M(465.1M)(7.9M)116.2M122.0M
Net Borrowings(50.1M)197.1M503.1M(21.8M)(25.1M)(23.9M)
Depreciation123.7M130.1M136.2M135.9M159.7M137.4M
Change To Netincome109.1M122.7M118.0M117.5M135.1M122.1M
End Period Cash Flow192.9M980.3M515.2M507.3M623.6M484.7M
Free Cash Flow83.4M(341.7M)(266.7M)(168.8M)136.8M143.7M
Other Non Cash Items53.7M53.3M52.2M51.5M51.7M55.6M

Western Metal Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Western Metal or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Western Metal's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Western stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.7
σ
Overall volatility
3.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Western Metal Volatility Alert

Western Metal Materials currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.53. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Western Metal's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Western Metal's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Western Metal Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Western Metal's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Western Metal's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Western Metal and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Western Metal or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Western Metal's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Western Metal by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Western Metal to competition
FundamentalsWestern MetalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0656-0.31
Return On Asset0.0155-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.1 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding488.21 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders35.24 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions23.64 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.72 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.54 X11.42 X
Revenue3.23 B9.43 B
Gross Profit528.38 M27.38 B
EBITDA346.89 M3.9 B
Net Income196.2 M570.98 M
Total Debt1.07 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share6.04 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations237.3 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.37 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.39 X4.89 X
Target Price18.0
Number Of Employees1.91 K18.84 K
Beta0.75-0.15
Market Capitalization7.85 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.56 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings377.71 M9.33 B
Working Capital1.88 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset6.56 B
Last Dividend Paid0.25

Western Metal Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Western . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Western Metal Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Western Metal Materials? Buying financial instruments such as Western Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Western Metal in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Commodities Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Western Stock

Western Metal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Western Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Western with respect to the benefits of owning Western Metal security.