Muyuan Foodstuff (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

002714 Stock   40.96  1.40  3.31%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Muyuan Foodstuff Co is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Muyuan Foodstuff buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 002714 positions.
  
Check out Muyuan Foodstuff Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Muyuan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Muyuan Foodstuff Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Muyuan Foodstuff Buy or Sell Advice

The Muyuan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Muyuan Foodstuff Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Muyuan Foodstuff Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Muyuan Foodstuff's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Muyuan FoodstuffBuy Muyuan Foodstuff
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Muyuan Foodstuff Co has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), Jensen Alpha of (0.05), Total Risk Alpha of (0.49) and Treynor Ratio of 0.2847
Muyuan Foodstuff trade recommendations module can be used to check and cross-verify current advice provided by analysts analyzing the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Muyuan Foodstuff is not overpriced, please verify all Muyuan Foodstuff Co fundamentals, including its price to sales, gross profit, and the relationship between the price to book and revenue .

Muyuan Foodstuff Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Muyuan Foodstuff has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 110.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.26 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.84 B.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Muyuan Foodstuff Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Muyuan Foodstuff's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Muyuan Foodstuff's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Muyuan Foodstuff daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Muyuan Foodstuff Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Muyuan Foodstuff returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Muyuan Foodstuff.
Mean Return
-0.08
Value At Risk
-3.31
Potential Upside
4.06
Standard Deviation
2.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Muyuan Foodstuff historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Muyuan Foodstuff Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid883.8M2.4B7.5B3.8B6.6B6.9B
Capital Expenditures13.1B46.1B35.9B15.7B17.0B11.6B
Net Income6.1B27.5B6.9B13.3B(4.3B)(4.1B)
Change To Inventory(1.4B)(14.0B)(13.3B)(3.8B)(3.9B)(4.1B)
Investments211M674.8M(136.4M)(236.4M)(17.2B)(16.4B)
Change In Cash7.6B4.0B(5.5B)9.5B(4.1B)(3.9B)
Net Borrowings(2.8B)23.9B24.6B2.3B2.7B2.5B
Depreciation1.7B3.6B8.9B12.1B13.5B14.2B
Change To Netincome837.8M3.9B2.5B3.3B3.8B4.0B
End Period Cash Flow10.0B13.9B8.4B17.9B13.8B9.8B
Free Cash Flow(3.1B)(22.9B)(19.6B)7.3B(7.1B)(7.5B)
Other Non Cash Items661.4M1.1B2.3B3.1B3.4B1.8B

Muyuan Foodstuff Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Muyuan Foodstuff or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Muyuan Foodstuff's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Muyuan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
2.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Muyuan Foodstuff Volatility Alert

Muyuan Foodstuff Co exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.96 and kurtosis of 2.56. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Muyuan Foodstuff's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Muyuan Foodstuff's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Muyuan Foodstuff Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Muyuan Foodstuff's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Muyuan Foodstuff's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Muyuan Foodstuff and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Muyuan Foodstuff or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Muyuan Foodstuff's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Muyuan Foodstuff by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Muyuan Foodstuff to competition
FundamentalsMuyuan FoodstuffPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0415-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.29 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation279.97 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.47 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders59.18 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions10.35 %39.21 %
Price To Book3.10 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.80 X11.42 X
Revenue110.86 B9.43 B
Gross Profit21.84 B27.38 B
EBITDA26.42 B3.9 B
Net Income(4.26 B)570.98 M
Total Debt94.1 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share14.03 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations9.89 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.46 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.78 X4.89 X
Target Price50.08
Number Of Employees131.28 K18.84 K
Beta0.54-0.15
Market Capitalization223.86 B19.03 B
Total Asset195.4 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings39.28 B9.33 B
Working Capital(31.08 B)1.48 B
Net Asset195.4 B

Muyuan Foodstuff Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Muyuan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Muyuan Foodstuff Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Muyuan Foodstuff Co? Buying financial instruments such as Muyuan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Emerging Markets Funds Theme
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Other Information on Investing in Muyuan Stock

Muyuan Foodstuff financial ratios help investors to determine whether Muyuan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Muyuan with respect to the benefits of owning Muyuan Foodstuff security.