Guangdong Tianhe (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

002999 Stock   6.07  0.39  6.04%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Guangdong Tianhe buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 002999 positions.
  
Check out Guangdong Tianhe Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Guangdong and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Guangdong Tianhe Buy or Sell Advice

The Guangdong recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Guangdong Tianhe's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Guangdong TianheBuy Guangdong Tianhe
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural has a Mean Deviation of 2.6, Semi Deviation of 3.18, Standard Deviation of 3.46, Variance of 11.99, Downside Variance of 13.31 and Semi Variance of 10.13
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Guangdong Tianhe. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural is not overpriced, please check out all Guangdong Tianhe fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Guangdong Tianhe Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Guangdong Tianhe Agr had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Guangdong Tianhe generates negative cash flow from operations
About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Guangdong Tianhe Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Guangdong Tianhe's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Guangdong Tianhe's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Guangdong Tianhe daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Guangdong Tianhe returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Guangdong Tianhe.
Mean Return
0.35
Value At Risk
-5.34
Potential Upside
6.20
Standard Deviation
3.46
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Guangdong Tianhe historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Guangdong Tianhe Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory116.1M(87.0M)(367.2M)(214.2M)(370.8M)(352.2M)
Change In Cash60.5M297.5M163.6M(282.4M)(308.2M)(292.8M)
Net Borrowings(28.9M)(73.1M)(96.5M)(40.2M)(36.2M)(34.3M)
Depreciation24.3M24.7M40.0M44.4M58.3M34.7M
Dividends Paid129.8M114.9M83.5M81.8M88.7M77.6M
Capital Expenditures67.4M408.3M278.6M302.8M138.5M194.8M
Net Income77.4M79.5M98.0M106.1M100.2M88.4M
End Period Cash Flow413.3M710.8M874.4M592.0M283.8M525.2M
Change To Netincome138.2M110.2M115.7M170.4M153.4M124.0M
Free Cash Flow344.5M366.7M339.8M(89.7M)(315.8M)(300.0M)
Other Non Cash Items80.7M61.9M54.5M55.3M65.0M66.9M

Guangdong Tianhe Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Guangdong Tianhe or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Guangdong Tianhe's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Guangdong stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
3.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Guangdong Tianhe Volatility Alert

Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Guangdong Tianhe's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Guangdong Tianhe's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Guangdong Tianhe Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Guangdong Tianhe's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Guangdong Tianhe's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Guangdong Tianhe and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Guangdong Tianhe or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Guangdong Tianhe's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guangdong Tianhe by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guangdong Tianhe to competition
FundamentalsGuangdong TianhePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0301-0.31
Return On Asset0.0094-0.14
Profit Margin0 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.03 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding347.59 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders42.79 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions3.04 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.76 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.14 X11.42 X
Revenue15.51 B9.43 B
Gross Profit953.75 M27.38 B
EBITDA154.26 M3.9 B
Net Income100.16 M570.98 M
Total Debt533.05 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share3.45 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(177.39 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.15 X3.12 X
Beta1.07-0.15
Market Capitalization2.11 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.87 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings459.19 M9.33 B
Working Capital695.19 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset6.87 B
Last Dividend Paid0.12

Guangdong Tianhe Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Guangdong . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Guangdong Tianhe Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural? Buying financial instruments such as Guangdong Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Guangdong Stock

Guangdong Tianhe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangdong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangdong with respect to the benefits of owning Guangdong Tianhe security.