CVR Energy (UK) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

0HRR Stock   19.58  0.91  4.87%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding CVR Energy is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell CVR Energy given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards CVR Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for CVR Energy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out CVR Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy CVR Stock please use our How to Invest in CVR Energy guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as CVR and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. CVR Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute CVR Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The CVR recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on CVR Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in CVR Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute CVR Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CVR EnergyBuy CVR Energy
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon CVR Energy has a Mean Deviation of 2.61, Standard Deviation of 4.34 and Variance of 18.79
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on CVR Energy and to analyze the company potential to grow next year. To make sure CVR Energy is not overpriced, please confirm all CVR Energy fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, price to sales, gross profit, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and revenue .

CVR Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

CVR Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CVR Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CVR Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Quest Partners LLC Purchases 36,065 Shares of CVR Energy, Inc. - MarketBeat

CVR Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of CVR Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of CVR Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of CVR Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use CVR Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of CVR Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for CVR Energy.
Mean Return
-0.31
Value At Risk
-5.49
Potential Upside
4.77
Standard Deviation
4.34
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of CVR Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

CVR Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(10M)9M(182M)(140M)15M15.8M
Change In Cash(16M)22M(157M)669M602.1M632.2M
Free Cash Flow588M(193M)(159M)693M686M720.3M
Depreciation287M278M279M288M298M181.8M
Other Non Cash Items2M83M(388M)19M(24M)(25.2M)
Capital Expenditures159M283M249M274M262M191.0M
Net Income362M(320M)74M644M878M921.9M
End Period Cash Flow668M652M674M517M1.2B1.2B
Dividends Paid306M121M241M483M453M293.4M
Change To Netincome39M3M(85M)254M292.1M306.7M

CVR Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CVR Energy or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CVR Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a CVR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.56
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.93
σ
Overall volatility
4.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

CVR Energy Volatility Alert

CVR Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.29 and kurtosis of 14.6. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CVR Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CVR Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

CVR Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing CVR Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze CVR Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between CVR Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as CVR Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of CVR Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CVR Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare CVR Energy to competition
FundamentalsCVR EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.1-0.31
Return On Asset0.0244-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.06) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.16 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding100.53 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions100.00 %39.21 %
Price To Sales0.27 X11.42 X
Revenue9.25 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.42 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.42 B3.9 B
Net Income878 M570.98 M
Total Debt2.2 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share6.71 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations948 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.57 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees1.57 K18.84 K
Beta1.53-0.15
Market Capitalization216.16 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.71 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(660 M)9.33 B
Annual Yield0 %
Net Asset4.71 B
Last Dividend Paid1.5

CVR Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as CVR . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About CVR Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell CVR Energy? Buying financial instruments such as CVR Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Broad Sovereign ETFs Theme
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Additional Tools for CVR Stock Analysis

When running CVR Energy's price analysis, check to measure CVR Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVR Energy is operating at the current time. Most of CVR Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVR Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVR Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVR Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.