Alm Brand (Germany) Market Outlook

1AM Stock  EUR 2.11  0.01  0.48%   
Roughly 54% of Alm Brand's investor base is interested to short. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in Alm Brand AS suggests that many traders are, at the present time, impartial. The current market sentiment, together with Alm Brand's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Alm Brand AS stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.

Comfort Level 46

 Impartial

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Alm Brand's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Alm Brand AS.
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Alm Brand AS is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alm Brand buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 1AM positions.

Execute Alm Brand Advice

The Alm recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alm Brand AS. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alm Brand AS or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alm Brand's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alm BrandBuy Alm Brand
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakestDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alm Brand AS has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), Jensen Alpha of (0.14), Total Risk Alpha of (0.24) and Treynor Ratio of 11.55
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Alm Brand AS. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Alm Brand is not overpriced, please confirm all Alm Brand AS fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, shares owned by institutions, and the relationship between the current valuation and shares owned by insiders .

Alm Brand Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alm Brand AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ondo InsurTech PLC - Alm. Brand Group to roll out LeakBot - Research Tree

Alm Brand Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alm Brand's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alm Brand's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alm Brand daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alm Brand AS price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alm Brand returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Alm Brand.
Mean Return
-0.14
Value At Risk
-2.76
Potential Upside
1.33
Standard Deviation
1.28
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alm Brand historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alm Brand Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Net Borrowings1.1B(180M)6M(45M)(463M)(439.9M)
End Period Cash Flow110M489M329M412M607M481.8M
Change To Netincome715M321M278M(831M)(747.9M)(710.5M)
Investments(10.3B)12.7B(776M)(278M)(195M)(204.8M)
Change In Cash(414M)379M91M(168M)195M204.8M
Free Cash Flow884M148M1.2B588M1.0B774.8M
Depreciation262M254M43M235M211.5M164.1M
Net Income598M506M612M777M1.4B769.3M

Alm Brand Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alm Brand or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alm Brand's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alm stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Alm Brand Volatility Alert

Alm Brand AS exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.14 and kurtosis of 2.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alm Brand's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alm Brand's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alm Brand Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alm Brand's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alm Brand's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alm Brand and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alm Brand or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alm Brand's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alm Brand by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alm Brand to competition
FundamentalsAlm BrandPeer Average
Return On Equity0.091-0.31
Return On Asset0.0322-0.14
Profit Margin0.1 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.14 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.11 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.41 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders50.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions15.94 %39.21 %
Price To Earning10.72 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.80 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.22 X11.42 X
Revenue13.37 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.54 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.85 B3.9 B
Net Income1.35 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents479 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.11 X5.01 X
Total Debt19.65 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.23 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.28 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.13 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations922 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.11 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees2.06 K18.84 K
Beta1.3-0.15
Market Capitalization3.1 B19.03 B
Total Asset32.02 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings8.49 B9.33 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Net Asset32.02 B
Last Dividend Paid0.66

Alm Brand Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alm . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alm Brand Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alm Brand AS? Buying financial instruments such as Alm Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alm Brand in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Aggressive Funds
Aggressive Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that attempt to achieve high capital gains by investing in companies with high growth potential and above average risk. The Aggressive Funds theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aggressive Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Alm Stock

Alm Brand financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alm Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alm with respect to the benefits of owning Alm Brand security.