Anhui Gujing (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

200596 Stock   109.63  6.28  5.42%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Anhui Gujing Distillery is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Anhui Gujing buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 200596 positions.
  
Check out Anhui Gujing Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Anhui and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Anhui Gujing Distillery. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Anhui Gujing Buy or Sell Advice

The Anhui recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Anhui Gujing Distillery. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Anhui Gujing Distillery or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Anhui Gujing's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Anhui GujingBuy Anhui Gujing
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Anhui Gujing Distillery has a Mean Deviation of 1.83, Semi Deviation of 1.97, Standard Deviation of 2.68, Variance of 7.18, Downside Variance of 4.82 and Semi Variance of 3.9
Macroaxis provides advice on Anhui Gujing Distillery to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Anhui Gujing Distillery. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Anhui Gujing is not overpriced, please confirm all Anhui Gujing Distillery fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Anhui Gujing Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Anhui Gujing is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: At CN195, Is It Time To Put Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. On Your Watch List - Simply Wall St

Anhui Gujing Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Anhui Gujing's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Anhui Gujing's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Anhui Gujing daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Anhui Gujing Distillery price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Anhui Gujing returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Anhui Gujing.
Mean Return
0.20
Value At Risk
-2.38
Potential Upside
4.80
Standard Deviation
2.68
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Anhui Gujing historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Anhui Gujing Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid755.4M756.0M760.1M1.2B1.6B1.7B
Capital Expenditures412.3M561.6M578.2M1.6B2.4B2.5B
Net Income2.1B1.9B2.3B3.1B4.6B4.8B
Change To Inventory16.1M(415.0M)(1.3B)(1.4B)(1.5B)(1.4B)
Investments3.0B285.2M(8.3B)5.3B(1.3B)(1.2B)
Change In Cash2.1B2.7B420.6M7.0B1.6B1.7B
Depreciation235.5M248.5M259.1M283.6M360.7M265.3M
Change To Netincome(64.2M)345.4M26.2M46.2M53.2M55.8M
End Period Cash Flow2.9B5.6B6.1B13.1B14.7B15.4B
Free Cash Flow(219.9M)3.1B4.7B1.5B2.1B2.0B
Other Non Cash Items62.6M24.7M(13.8M)(105.2M)32.0M33.6M

Anhui Gujing Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Anhui Gujing or Beverages sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Anhui Gujing's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Anhui stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
2.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Anhui Gujing Volatility Alert

Anhui Gujing Distillery currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Anhui Gujing's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Anhui Gujing's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Anhui Gujing Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Anhui Gujing's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Anhui Gujing's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Anhui Gujing and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Anhui Gujing or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Anhui Gujing's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Anhui Gujing by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Anhui Gujing to competition
FundamentalsAnhui GujingPeer Average
Return On Equity0.25-0.31
Return On Asset0.13-0.14
Profit Margin0.24 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.32 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation78.09 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding120 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions26.49 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.39 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.91 X11.42 X
Revenue20.25 B9.43 B
Gross Profit9.89 B27.38 B
EBITDA7.74 B3.9 B
Net Income4.59 B570.98 M
Total Debt13.01 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share45.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.5 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share11.22 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.52 X4.89 X
Target Price56.67
Number Of Employees12.97 K18.84 K
Beta0.99-0.15
Market Capitalization91.36 B19.03 B
Total Asset35.42 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings14.5 B9.33 B
Working Capital13.1 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Net Asset35.42 B
Last Dividend Paid4.5

Anhui Gujing Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Anhui . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Anhui Gujing Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Anhui Gujing Distillery? Buying financial instruments such as Anhui Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Anhui Stock

Anhui Gujing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anhui Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anhui with respect to the benefits of owning Anhui Gujing security.