Gifore Agricultural (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

300022 Stock   4.94  0.06  1.23%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gifore Agricultural Machinery is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Gifore Agricultural buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 300022 positions.
  
Check out Gifore Agricultural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gifore and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Gifore Agricultural Machinery. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Gifore Agricultural Buy or Sell Advice

The Gifore recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gifore Agricultural Machinery. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gifore Agricultural Machinery or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gifore Agricultural's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Gifore AgriculturalBuy Gifore Agricultural
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Gifore Agricultural Machinery has a Mean Deviation of 2.53, Semi Deviation of 2.8, Standard Deviation of 3.65, Variance of 13.34, Downside Variance of 11.27 and Semi Variance of 7.82
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Gifore Agricultural. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Gifore Agricultural Machinery is not overpriced, please check out all Gifore Agricultural fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Gifore Agricultural Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Gifore Agricultural appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Gifore Agricultural Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Gifore Agricultural's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gifore Agricultural's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gifore Agricultural daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gifore Agricultural Machinery price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gifore Agricultural returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gifore Agricultural.
Mean Return
0.56
Value At Risk
-4.21
Potential Upside
8.41
Standard Deviation
3.65
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gifore Agricultural historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Gifore Agricultural Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid63.0M47.7M26.5M10.5M42.5M35.7M
Capital Expenditures28.4M45.4M16.5M9.7M9.1M8.7M
Net Income(142.9M)(16.2M)15.3M11.1M16.8M17.6M
Change To Inventory(68.1M)95.5M(119.8M)46.7M(217.6M)(206.7M)
Change In Cash(130.4M)10.2M62.6M59.7M65.9M69.2M
Net Borrowings102.8M(237.8M)(56.2M)(1.1M)(991.1K)(1.0M)
Depreciation16.0M14.4M22.0M21.5M23.2M20.1M
End Period Cash Flow88.4M98.6M161.2M220.9M286.9M185.9M
Change To Netincome129.3M108.4M106.7M75.8M87.2M100.8M
Free Cash Flow(124.7M)86.3M66.3M111.6M55.7M52.0M
Other Non Cash Items83.5M61.3M57.1M46.5M29.4M45.3M

Gifore Agricultural Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gifore Agricultural or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gifore Agricultural's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gifore stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.55
σ
Overall volatility
3.71
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Gifore Agricultural Volatility Alert

Gifore Agricultural Machinery shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gifore Agricultural's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gifore Agricultural's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Gifore Agricultural Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Gifore Agricultural's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gifore Agricultural's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gifore Agricultural and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gifore Agricultural or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gifore Agricultural's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gifore Agricultural by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Gifore Agricultural to competition
FundamentalsGifore AgriculturalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0313-0.31
Return On Asset0.0164-0.14
Profit Margin(0) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.22 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding494.24 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders46.05 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.27 %39.21 %
Price To Book4.43 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.88 X11.42 X
Revenue2.65 B9.43 B
Gross Profit411.84 M27.38 B
EBITDA67.26 M3.9 B
Net Income16.8 M570.98 M
Total Debt249.99 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share1.10 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations64.86 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.02) X3.12 X
Target Price14.5
Number Of Employees1.16 K18.84 K
Beta0.46-0.15
Market Capitalization2.4 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.84 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(496.98 M)9.33 B
Working Capital636.53 M1.48 B
Net Asset1.84 B

Gifore Agricultural Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gifore . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Gifore Agricultural Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Gifore Agricultural Machinery? Buying financial instruments such as Gifore Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Gifore Stock

Gifore Agricultural financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gifore Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gifore with respect to the benefits of owning Gifore Agricultural security.