Contec Medical (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 300869 Stock | 15.12 0.77 4.85% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Contec Medical Systems is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Contec Medical buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 300869 positions.
Check out Contec Medical Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Contec and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Contec Medical Systems. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Contec |
Execute Contec Medical Buy or Sell Advice
The Contec recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Contec Medical Systems. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Contec Medical Systems or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Contec Medical's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Contec Medical Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Contec Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Contec Medical Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Contec Medical's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Contec Medical's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Contec Medical daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Contec Medical Systems price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Contec Medical returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Contec Medical.
| Mean Return | 0.27 | Value At Risk | -4.14 | Potential Upside | 3.62 | Standard Deviation | 3.67 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Contec Medical historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Contec Medical Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (18.9M) | (168.0M) | (145.0M) | (17.4M) | (85.0M) | (80.8M) | |
| Change In Cash | 26.0M | 650.7M | (214.6M) | 788.8M | (922.2M) | (876.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 42.8M | 509.1M | (101.7M) | 22.2M | 257.9M | 270.8M | |
| Depreciation | 12.2M | 13.4M | 16.3M | 19.1M | 27.5M | 15.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (6.9M) | 6.8M | (104.2M) | (91.8M) | 195.6M | 205.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 7.4M | 88.7M | 106.3M | 81.4M | 30.7M | 41.0M | |
| Net Income | 73.8M | 613.4M | 352.4M | 196.2M | 165.8M | 181.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 162.4M | 813.1M | 598.6M | 1.4B | 470.5M | 396.0M | |
| Investments | (24.6M) | (230M) | 50M | (50M) | (723.0M) | (686.8M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (621.7K) | 4.2M | (105.8M) | (93.3M) | (84.0M) | (79.8M) |
Contec Medical Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Contec Medical or Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Contec Medical's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Contec stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Contec Medical Volatility Alert
Contec Medical Systems shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Contec Medical's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Contec Medical's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Contec Medical Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Contec Medical's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Contec Medical's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Contec Medical and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Contec Medical or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Contec Medical's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Contec Medical by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Contec Medical to competition |
| Fundamentals | Contec Medical | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0097 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0102 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.67 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 401.8 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 64.21 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.37 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 3.14 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 13.11 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 734.05 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 330 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 136.65 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 165.77 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 1.05 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.81 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 288.68 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.05) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 1.77 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | -0.083 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.08 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.22 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.09 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.02 B | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Net Asset | 3.22 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.3 |
Contec Medical Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Contec . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Contec Medical Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Contec Medical Systems? Buying financial instruments such as Contec Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Contec Stock
Contec Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Contec Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Contec with respect to the benefits of owning Contec Medical security.