Carlyle (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

3VU Stock   49.85  1.81  3.77%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Carlyle Group is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Carlyle buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Carlyle positions.
  
Check out Carlyle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Carlyle and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Carlyle Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Carlyle Buy or Sell Advice

The Carlyle recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Carlyle Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Carlyle Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Carlyle's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CarlyleBuy Carlyle
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Carlyle Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1752, Jensen Alpha of 0.3626, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1492, Sortino Ratio of 0.2582 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3488
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement Carlyle trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Carlyle is not overpriced, please confirm all Carlyle Group fundamentals, including its revenue, book value per share, and the relationship between the price to book and ebitda .

Carlyle Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Carlyle Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Carlyle's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Carlyle's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Carlyle daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Carlyle Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Carlyle returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Carlyle.
Mean Return
0.56
Value At Risk
-2.76
Potential Upside
3.77
Standard Deviation
2.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Carlyle historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Carlyle Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Carlyle or Asset Management sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Carlyle's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Carlyle stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.59
σ
Overall volatility
2.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Carlyle Volatility Alert

Carlyle Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.69 and kurtosis of 4.96. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Carlyle's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Carlyle's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Carlyle Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Carlyle's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Carlyle's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Carlyle and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Carlyle or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Carlyle's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Carlyle by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Carlyle to competition
FundamentalsCarlylePeer Average
Return On Equity0.31-0.31
Return On Asset0.0797-0.14
Profit Margin0.31 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.47 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation22.53 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding363.6 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders33.90 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions53.92 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.79 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.78 X11.42 X
Revenue5.53 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.75 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.78 B3.9 B
Net Income2.97 B570.98 M
Book Value Per Share16.84 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.79 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share4.43 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth7.61 X4.89 X
Target Price58.88
Number Of Employees1.85 K18.84 K
Beta1.71-0.15
Market Capitalization12.18 B19.03 B
Total Asset21.25 B29.47 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Net Asset21.25 B
Last Dividend Paid1.23

Carlyle Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Carlyle . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Carlyle Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Carlyle Group? Buying financial instruments such as Carlyle Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Carlyle Stock

When determining whether Carlyle Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Carlyle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Carlyle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Carlyle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Carlyle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carlyle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carlyle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carlyle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.