AVIC Heavy (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 600765 Stock | 20.27 0.37 1.79% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding AVIC Heavy Machinery is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides AVIC Heavy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 600765 positions.
Check out AVIC Heavy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AVIC and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards AVIC Heavy Machinery. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
AVIC |
Execute AVIC Heavy Buy or Sell Advice
The AVIC recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AVIC Heavy Machinery. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AVIC Heavy Machinery or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AVIC Heavy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
AVIC Heavy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| AVIC Heavy Machinery had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| AVIC Heavy Machinery is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AVIC Heavy Machinerys five-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth - Simply Wall St |
AVIC Heavy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AVIC Heavy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AVIC Heavy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AVIC Heavy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AVIC Heavy Machinery price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AVIC Heavy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AVIC Heavy.
| Mean Return | 0.34 | Value At Risk | -3.97 | Potential Upside | 5.32 | Standard Deviation | 3.17 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AVIC Heavy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AVIC Heavy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Dividends Paid | 159.4M | 158.6M | 151.9M | 280.4M | 268.5M | 146.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 262.1M | 453.6M | 619.7M | 877.8M | 1.1B | 1.2B | |
| Net Income | 275.3M | 343.8M | 890.6M | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.4B | |
| Change To Inventory | (317.9M) | (596.6M) | (187.6M) | (130.9M) | (485.7M) | (461.4M) | |
| Investments | 92.9K | 180.3M | 29.2M | (51.0M) | (2.1B) | (2.0B) | |
| Change In Cash | 1.6B | 390.0M | 3.1B | (396.0M) | (558.3M) | (530.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (68.6M) | 92.2M | (178.6M) | (144.3M) | (129.9M) | (123.4M) | |
| Depreciation | 282.8M | 289.0M | 304.0M | 290.6M | 341.2M | 245.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 377.5M | 387.3M | 390.0M | 525.1M | 603.9M | 428.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.6B | 3.0B | 6.1B | 5.7B | 5.1B | 3.6B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 521.3M | 204.8M | 897.9M | (103.4M) | (511.1M) | (485.6M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 149.4M | 126.9M | 120.4M | 93.8M | 121.2M | 118.8M |
AVIC Heavy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AVIC Heavy or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AVIC Heavy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AVIC stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
AVIC Heavy Volatility Alert
AVIC Heavy Machinery currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.37. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AVIC Heavy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AVIC Heavy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AVIC Heavy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AVIC Heavy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AVIC Heavy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AVIC Heavy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AVIC Heavy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AVIC Heavy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AVIC Heavy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AVIC Heavy to competition |
| Fundamentals | AVIC Heavy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0379 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 30.54 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.48 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 37.04 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 17.78 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 2.44 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.92 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 10.58 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.01 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.91 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.33 B | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 1.15 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 8.31 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 593.62 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.90 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 22.2 | |
| Number Of Employees | 7.06 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.47 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 29.57 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 25.43 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 5.29 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 7.21 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 25.43 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.27 |
AVIC Heavy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AVIC . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About AVIC Heavy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AVIC Heavy Machinery? Buying financial instruments such as AVIC Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in AVIC Stock
AVIC Heavy financial ratios help investors to determine whether AVIC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AVIC with respect to the benefits of owning AVIC Heavy security.