Juneyao Airlines (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 603885 Stock | 14.17 0.03 0.21% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Juneyao Airlines is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Juneyao Airlines buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 603885 positions.
Check out Juneyao Airlines Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Juneyao and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Juneyao Airlines. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Juneyao |
Execute Juneyao Airlines Buy or Sell Advice
The Juneyao recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Juneyao Airlines. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Juneyao Airlines or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Juneyao Airlines' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Juneyao Airlines Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Juneyao Airlines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Juneyao Airlines Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Juneyao Airlines' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Juneyao Airlines' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Juneyao Airlines daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Juneyao Airlines price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Juneyao Airlines returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Juneyao Airlines.
| Mean Return | 0.43 | Value At Risk | -2.75 | Potential Upside | 4.71 | Standard Deviation | 2.93 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Juneyao Airlines historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Juneyao Airlines Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Dividends Paid | 494.1M | 871.9M | 625.8M | 537.9M | 626.4M | 604.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.8B | 587.9M | 2.0B | 1.7B | 499.9M | 474.9M | |
| Net Income | 994.5M | (473.8M) | (497.6M) | (4.1B) | 751.3M | 788.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | (53.4M) | (9.1M) | (227.4K) | (1.9M) | (40.0M) | (42.1M) | |
| Investments | (7.5B) | (92.8M) | 10.5M | (11.7M) | (83.3M) | (87.5M) | |
| Change In Cash | (84.1M) | 247.2M | (508.6M) | 83.9M | 197.8M | 207.6M | |
| Net Borrowings | 4.2B | 1.2B | 623.6M | (1.2B) | (1.1B) | (1.0B) | |
| Depreciation | 714.3M | 889.0M | 2.3B | 2.6B | 3.0B | 3.2B | |
| Change To Netincome | 367.8M | 268.1M | 571.3M | 2.1B | 2.4B | 2.5B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.3B | 1.6B | 1.0B | 1.2B | 1.4B | 1.1B | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.0B) | 24.7M | (475.4M) | (1.5B) | 5.9B | 6.2B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 483.0M | 500.9M | 696.6M | 2.2B | 1.7B | 983.4M |
Juneyao Airlines Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Juneyao Airlines or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Juneyao Airlines' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Juneyao stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Juneyao Airlines Volatility Alert
Juneyao Airlines currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.1 and Jensen Alpha of 0.49. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Juneyao Airlines' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Juneyao Airlines' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Juneyao Airlines Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Juneyao Airlines' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Juneyao Airlines' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Juneyao Airlines and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Juneyao Airlines or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Juneyao Airlines' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Juneyao Airlines by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Juneyao Airlines to competition |
| Fundamentals | Juneyao Airlines | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0923 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0307 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.19 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 61.49 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 63.06 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 12.77 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 3.36 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.49 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 20.1 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (2.95 B) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.32 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 751.3 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 9.47 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.24 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 6.41 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.40 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 14.82 | |
| Number Of Employees | 10.32 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.61 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 32.37 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 44.86 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 27.3 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (13.01 B) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 44.86 B |
Juneyao Airlines Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Juneyao . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Juneyao Airlines Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Juneyao Airlines? Buying financial instruments such as Juneyao Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Other Information on Investing in Juneyao Stock
Juneyao Airlines financial ratios help investors to determine whether Juneyao Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Juneyao with respect to the benefits of owning Juneyao Airlines security.