Par Pacific (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 61P Stock | EUR 16.30 0.10 0.61% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Par Pacific Holdings is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Par Pacific buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 61P positions.
Check out Par Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Par and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Par Pacific Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Par |
Execute Par Pacific Buy or Sell Advice
The Par recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Par Pacific Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Par Pacific Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Par Pacific's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Par Pacific Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Par Pacific Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Par Pacific Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Par Pacific Holdings has accumulated 553.72 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.88, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Par Pacific Holdings has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Par Pacific until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Par Pacific's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Par Pacific Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Par to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Par Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Par Pacific Holdings has accumulated about 174.33 M in cash with (27.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.89. | |
| Over 96.0% of Par Pacific shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Par Pacific Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Par Pacific's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Par Pacific's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Par Pacific daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Par Pacific Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Par Pacific returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Par Pacific.
| Mean Return | -0.21 | Value At Risk | -6.18 | Potential Upside | 4.03 | Standard Deviation | 3.17 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Par Pacific historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Par Pacific Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Par Pacific or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Par Pacific's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Par stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Par Pacific Volatility Alert
Par Pacific Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.43 and kurtosis of -0.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Par Pacific's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Par Pacific's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Par Pacific Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Par Pacific's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Par Pacific's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Par Pacific and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Par Pacific or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Par Pacific's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Par Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Par Pacific to competition |
| Fundamentals | Par Pacific | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.9 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0806 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.52 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 60.32 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.35 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 95.56 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 9.31 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.18 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.18 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 7.32 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 945.77 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 433.19 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 364.19 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 174.33 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.89 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 553.72 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 5.88 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.75 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.09 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (27.62 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.41 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 18.33 | |
| Number Of Employees | 21 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.06 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.57 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.57 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 3.2 | 8.72 |
| Net Asset | 2.57 B |
Par Pacific Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Par . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.10) |
About Par Pacific Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Par Pacific Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Par Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Par Stock
When determining whether Par Pacific Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Par Pacific's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Par Pacific's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Par Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Par Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.