Guoguang Electric (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

688776 Stock   59.97  1.23  2.09%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Guoguang Electric Co is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Guoguang Electric buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 688776 positions.
  
Check out Guoguang Electric Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Guoguang and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Guoguang Electric Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Guoguang Electric Buy or Sell Advice

The Guoguang recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Guoguang Electric Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Guoguang Electric Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Guoguang Electric's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Guoguang ElectricBuy Guoguang Electric
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Guoguang Electric Co has a Mean Deviation of 4.28, Semi Deviation of 4.11, Standard Deviation of 5.63, Variance of 31.73, Downside Variance of 18.69 and Semi Variance of 16.86
Our investment recommendation module provides unbiased trade recommendations that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Guoguang Electric. Our investment recommendation engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Guoguang Electric Co is not overpriced, please check out all Guoguang Electric fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, price to book, as well as the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .

Guoguang Electric Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Guoguang Electric is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Guoguang Electric appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Guoguang Electric is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Guoguang Electric Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Guoguang Electric's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Guoguang Electric's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Guoguang Electric daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Guoguang Electric Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Guoguang Electric returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Guoguang Electric.
Mean Return
0.77
Value At Risk
-6.58
Potential Upside
10.86
Standard Deviation
5.63
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Guoguang Electric historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Guoguang Electric Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(3.5M)(14.3M)(33.3M)(58.7M)(7.5M)(7.8M)
Change In Cash6.9M46.1M943.9M(105.8M)(9.7M)(9.2M)
Free Cash Flow45.6M32.2M39.7M(54.2M)21.7M21.3M
Change In Working Capital(14.4M)(89.3M)(148.8M)(199.5M)(55.1M)(57.9M)
Begin Period Cash Flow98.6M105.5M151.6M1.1B989.7M1.0B
Depreciation16.5M16.5M18.2M12.5M17.6M14.4M
Other Non Cash Items26.5M14.8M17.3M32.6M1.9M1.8M
Dividends Paid5.3M60.9M1.4M51.1M392.1K372.5K
Capital Expenditures25.3M5.1M11.8M65.9M63.5M66.6M
Total Cash From Operating Activities71.0M37.3M51.5M11.7M85.1M57.1M
Net Income42.4M95.4M164.9M166.0M90.1M94.7M
Total Cash From Financing Activities(75.3M)(30.9M)904.2M(51.6M)(59.4M)(56.4M)
End Period Cash Flow105.5M151.6M1.1B989.7M980.1M554.2M

Guoguang Electric Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Guoguang Electric or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Guoguang Electric's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Guoguang stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.84
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.61
σ
Overall volatility
5.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Guoguang Electric Volatility Alert

Guoguang Electric Co exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Guoguang Electric's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Guoguang Electric's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Guoguang Electric Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Guoguang Electric's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Guoguang Electric's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Guoguang Electric and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Guoguang Electric or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Guoguang Electric's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guoguang Electric by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guoguang Electric to competition
FundamentalsGuoguang ElectricPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0544-0.31
Return On Asset0.0202-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.61 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding108.38 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders67.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions13.84 %39.21 %
Price To Book3.48 X9.51 X
Price To Sales8.90 X11.42 X
Revenue745.45 M9.43 B
Gross Profit319.29 M27.38 B
EBITDA93.7 M3.9 B
Net Income90.1 M570.98 M
Total Debt438.81 K5.32 B
Book Value Per Share17.22 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations85.14 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.73 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees97418.84 K
Beta-0.62-0.15
Market Capitalization6.5 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.36 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings473.31 M9.33 B
Working Capital1.68 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0 %
Net Asset2.36 B
Last Dividend Paid0.2

Guoguang Electric Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Guoguang . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Guoguang Electric Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Guoguang Electric Co? Buying financial instruments such as Guoguang Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Guoguang Stock

Guoguang Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guoguang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guoguang with respect to the benefits of owning Guoguang Electric security.