Hainan Airlines (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

900945 Stock   0.28  0.01  3.45%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hainan Airlines Co is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Hainan Airlines buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 900945 positions.
  
Check out Hainan Airlines Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hainan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hainan Airlines Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Hainan Airlines Buy or Sell Advice

The Hainan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hainan Airlines Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hainan Airlines Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hainan Airlines' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hainan AirlinesBuy Hainan Airlines
Strong Sell

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Very regressive towards the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Hainan Airlines Co has a Mean Deviation of 2.9, Semi Deviation of 2.51, Standard Deviation of 3.98, Variance of 15.81, Downside Variance of 36.88 and Semi Variance of 6.31
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Hainan Airlines. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Hainan Airlines Co is not overpriced, please check out all Hainan Airlines fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, price to book, and the relationship between the current valuation and shares owned by insiders .

Hainan Airlines Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Hainan Airlines has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Hainan Airlines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Hainan Airlines Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hainan Airlines' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hainan Airlines' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hainan Airlines daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hainan Airlines Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hainan Airlines returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hainan Airlines.
Mean Return
0.89
Value At Risk
-5.56
Potential Upside
8.00
Standard Deviation
3.98
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hainan Airlines historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hainan Airlines Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Borrowings2.0B(2.9B)(6.5B)(55.9M)(50.3M)(47.8M)
Capital Expenditures917.9M1.4B1.6B1.0B2.6B2.9B
Change To Netincome2.6B52.8B(15.4B)14.9B17.2B9.7B
Change To Inventory(5.1M)(119.2M)(383.9M)205.8M(188.7M)(179.3M)
Investments(27.0B)(4.6B)(251.1M)(9.2M)398.4M418.3M
Change In Cash(22.5B)(4.2B)777.0M7.2B(7.8B)(7.4B)
Depreciation5.2B4.4B12.3B10.1B9.7B7.8B
Dividends Paid5.6B454.0M115.0M1.7B1.9B2.5B
Net Income543.2M(64.0B)4.7B(20.2B)310.9M326.4M
End Period Cash Flow5.9B1.8B2.5B9.7B1.9B1.8B
Free Cash Flow12.8B(1.9B)(876.3M)(3.2B)5.5B5.7B
Other Non Cash Items5.8B6.6B494.1M12.2B5.4B6.2B

Hainan Airlines Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hainan Airlines or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hainan Airlines' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hainan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.33
σ
Overall volatility
4.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Hainan Airlines Volatility Alert

Hainan Airlines Co shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Hainan Airlines Co is a potential penny stock. Although Hainan Airlines may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Hainan Airlines Co. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Hainan instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Hainan Airlines Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hainan Airlines' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hainan Airlines' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hainan Airlines and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hainan Airlines or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hainan Airlines' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hainan Airlines by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hainan Airlines to competition
FundamentalsHainan AirlinesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.45-0.31
Return On Asset0.0138-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation22.61 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding369.45 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders59.18 %10.09 %
Price To Book20.70 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.16 X11.42 X
Revenue58.64 B9.43 B
Gross Profit(11.76 B)27.38 B
EBITDA6.83 B3.9 B
Net Income310.85 M570.98 M
Total Debt1.61 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0.10 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations8.08 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.01 X3.12 X
Target Price9.64
Number Of Employees35.18 K18.84 K
Beta0.24-0.15
Market Capitalization10.02 B19.03 B
Total Asset134.03 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(76.53 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(5.77 B)1.48 B
Net Asset134.03 B

Hainan Airlines Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hainan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hainan Airlines Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hainan Airlines Co? Buying financial instruments such as Hainan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Hainan Stock

Hainan Airlines financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hainan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hainan with respect to the benefits of owning Hainan Airlines security.