Comfort Systems (Germany) Market Outlook
| 9CF Stock | EUR 1,135 21.00 1.82% |
Roughly 62% of Comfort Systems' investor base is looking to short. The current sentiment regarding investing in Comfort Systems USA stock implies that many traders are alarmed. The current market sentiment, together with Comfort Systems' historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Comfort Systems USA stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 38
Alarmed
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Comfort Systems' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Comfort Systems USA.
News SentimentNeutral | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Comfort Systems USA is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Comfort Systems buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 9CF positions.
Execute Comfort Systems Advice
The Comfort recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Comfort Systems USA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Comfort Systems USA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Comfort Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Tiny | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
For the selected time horizon Comfort Systems USA has a Mean Deviation of 3.11, Semi Deviation of 3.29, Standard Deviation of 3.91, Variance of 15.27, Downside Variance of 13.49 and Semi Variance of 10.83Macroaxis provides advice on Comfort Systems USA to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Comfort Systems USA. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Comfort Systems is not overpriced, please confirm all Comfort Systems USA fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to earning, and the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .
Comfort Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Comfort Systems USA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Comfort Systems USA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Comfort Systems USA has accumulated €6.04 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Rhumbline Advisers Lowers Stock Holdings in Comfort Systems USA, Inc. FIX - MarketBeat |
Comfort Systems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Comfort Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Comfort Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Comfort Systems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Comfort Systems USA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Comfort Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Comfort Systems.
| Mean Return | 0.62 | Value At Risk | -6.62 | Potential Upside | 6.94 | Standard Deviation | 3.91 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Comfort Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Comfort Systems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (5.7M) | (13.5M) | (15.4M) | 6.5M | 5.9M | 6.2M | |
| Change In Cash | 3.9M | (1.6M) | 66.5M | 344.8M | 396.5M | 416.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 115.5M | (138.2M) | (227.0M) | (25.9M) | (23.3M) | (22.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 68.9M | 81.3M | 80.1M | 145.5M | 167.3M | 175.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 17.4M | 20.1M | 26.8M | 42.8M | 49.2M | 51.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 22.3M | 48.4M | 83.1M | 111.1M | 127.7M | 134.1M | |
| Net Income | 143.3M | 245.9M | 323.4M | 522.4M | 600.8M | 630.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 22.8M | 10.4M | 24.3M | (56.5M) | (50.9M) | (48.3M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 58.8M | 57.2M | 137.6M | 549.9M | 632.4M | 664.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 157.8M | 301.5M | 515.4M | 738.0M | 848.7M | 891.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 10.3M | 27.2M | 45.6M | 119.8M | 137.8M | 144.6M |
Comfort Systems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Comfort Systems or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Comfort Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Comfort stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Comfort Systems Volatility Alert
Comfort Systems USA shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Comfort Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Comfort Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Comfort Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Comfort Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Comfort Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Comfort Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Comfort Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Comfort Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Comfort Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Comfort Systems to competition |
| Fundamentals | Comfort Systems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.44 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.10 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 38.22 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 35.27 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.34 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.62 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 12.86 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 21.68 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.92 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 7.03 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.95 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.25 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 522.43 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 36.79 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.00 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 6.04 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 71.10 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.38 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 53.48 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 849.06 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 19.88 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 82.33 | |
| Number Of Employees | 18.3 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.67 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 40.98 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.71 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.63 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 207.47 M | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0 % | |
| Five Year Return | 0.75 % | |
| Net Asset | 4.71 B |
Comfort Systems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Comfort . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0527 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.35) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1108.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1117.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 60.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 16.5 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (21.00) |
About Comfort Systems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Comfort Systems USA? Buying financial instruments such as Comfort Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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