Airtel Africa Plc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AAFRF Stock  USD 1.25  0.01  0.81%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Airtel Africa Plc is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Airtel Africa buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AAFRF positions.
  
Check out Airtel Africa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Airtel and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Airtel Africa Plc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Airtel Africa Buy or Sell Advice

The Airtel recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Airtel Africa Plc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Airtel Africa Plc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Airtel Africa's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Airtel AfricaBuy Airtel Africa
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Airtel Africa Plc has a Mean Deviation of 2.01, Standard Deviation of 3.95 and Variance of 15.64
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Airtel Africa Plc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Airtel Africa is not overpriced, please confirm all Airtel Africa Plc fundamentals, including its debt to equity, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and earnings per share . Given that Airtel Africa is a hitting penny stock territory we recommend to closely look at its shares owned by institutions.

Airtel Africa Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Airtel Africa Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Airtel Africa Plc may become a speculative penny stock
Airtel Africa Plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Airtel Africa Plc has accumulated 1.49 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.1, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Airtel Africa Plc has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Airtel Africa until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Airtel Africa's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Airtel Africa Plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Airtel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Airtel Africa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 74.0% of Airtel Africa shares are held by company insiders

Airtel Africa Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Airtel Africa's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Airtel Africa's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Airtel Africa daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Airtel Africa Plc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Airtel Africa returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Airtel Africa.
Mean Return
-0.15
Value At Risk
-5.69
Potential Upside
5.65
Standard Deviation
3.95
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Airtel Africa historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Airtel Africa Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Airtel Africa or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Airtel Africa's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Airtel pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.82
σ
Overall volatility
3.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Airtel Africa Volatility Alert

Airtel Africa Plc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.7 and kurtosis of 5.49. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Airtel Africa's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Airtel Africa's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Airtel Africa Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Airtel Africa's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Airtel Africa's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Airtel Africa and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Airtel Africa or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Airtel Africa's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Airtel Africa by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Airtel Africa to competition
FundamentalsAirtel AfricaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.21-0.31
Return On Asset0.1-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.33 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.7 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.76 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders74.19 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions18.04 %39.21 %
Price To Earning8.97 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.64 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.04 X11.42 X
Revenue4.71 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.94 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.41 B3.9 B
Net Income631 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents681 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.18 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.49 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.10 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.56 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.92 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.01 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.18 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees3.76 K18.84 K
Beta1.16-0.15
Market Capitalization5.54 B19.03 B
Total Asset10.36 B29.47 B
Z Score1.88.72
Annual Yield0.04 %
Net Asset10.36 B
Last Dividend Paid0.052

Airtel Africa Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Airtel . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Airtel Africa Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Airtel Africa Plc? Buying financial instruments such as Airtel Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Airtel Pink Sheet

Airtel Africa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Airtel Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Airtel with respect to the benefits of owning Airtel Africa security.