Absa (South Africa) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ABG Stock   17,250  31.00  0.18%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Absa Group is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Absa buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Absa positions.
  
Check out Absa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Absa and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Absa Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Execute Absa Buy or Sell Advice

The Absa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Absa Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Absa Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Absa's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AbsaBuy Absa
Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Absa Group has a Mean Deviation of 0.7903, Semi Deviation of 0.9216, Standard Deviation of 1.02, Variance of 1.05, Downside Variance of 0.958 and Semi Variance of 0.8494
Macroaxis provides advice on Absa Group to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Absa Group. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Absa is not overpriced, please confirm all Absa Group fundamentals, including its price to book, ebitda, earnings per share, as well as the relationship between the revenue and book value per share .

Absa Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Absa Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Absa's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Absa's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Absa daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Absa Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Absa returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Absa.
Mean Return
0.03
Value At Risk
-1.52
Potential Upside
1.91
Standard Deviation
1.02
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Absa historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Absa Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Absa or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Absa's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Absa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Absa Volatility Alert

Absa Group has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.46, Maximum Drawdown of 5.02 and kurtosis of 0.37. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Absa's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Absa's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Absa Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Absa's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Absa's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Absa and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Absa or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Absa's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Absa by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Absa to competition
FundamentalsAbsaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0132-0.14
Profit Margin0.24 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.37 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation67.64 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding830.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.11 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions60.65 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.18 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.91 X11.42 X
Revenue91.32 B9.43 B
Gross Profit77.23 B27.38 B
EBITDA67.78 B3.9 B
Net Income26.72 B570.98 M
Book Value Per Share156.68 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations6.47 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share24.15 X3.12 X
Target Price223.97
Number Of Employees35.27 K18.84 K
Beta0.96-0.15
Market Capitalization123.47 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.64 T29.47 B
Annual Yield0.06 %
Net Asset1.64 T
Last Dividend Paid11.25

Absa Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Absa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Absa Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Absa Group? Buying financial instruments such as Absa Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Absa in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Retail Thematic Idea Now

Retail
Retail Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Retail theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Retail Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Other Information on Investing in Absa Stock

Absa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Absa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Absa with respect to the benefits of owning Absa security.