Arbor Realty Trust Preferred Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ABR-PD Preferred Stock  USD 18.39  0.09  0.49%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Arbor Realty Trust is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Arbor Realty buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ABR-PD positions.
  
Check out Arbor Realty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arbor and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Arbor Realty Trust. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Arbor Realty Buy or Sell Advice

The Arbor recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arbor Realty Trust. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arbor Realty Trust or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arbor Realty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Arbor RealtyBuy Arbor Realty
Strong Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Arbor Realty Trust has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0776, Jensen Alpha of 0.0626, Total Risk Alpha of (0.04), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of 0.3408
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Arbor Realty Trust and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Arbor Realty is not overpriced, please confirm all Arbor Realty Trust fundamentals, including its operating margin, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and cash and equivalents . Given that Arbor Realty Trust has a price to earning of 7.77 X, we suggest you to validate Arbor Realty Trust market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Arbor Realty Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Arbor Realty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arbor Realty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arbor Realty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arbor Realty Trust price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arbor Realty returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arbor Realty.
Mean Return
0.1
Value At Risk
-1.59
Potential Upside
1.35
Standard Deviation
1.00
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arbor Realty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Arbor Realty Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arbor Realty or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arbor Realty's price will be affected by overall preferred stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arbor preferred stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Arbor Realty Volatility Alert

Arbor Realty Trust has relatively low volatility with skewness of -1.19 and kurtosis of 3.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arbor Realty's preferred stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arbor Realty's preferred stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Arbor Realty Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Arbor Realty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arbor Realty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arbor Realty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arbor Realty or determine the preferred stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arbor Realty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arbor Realty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Arbor Realty to competition
FundamentalsArbor RealtyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0229-0.14
Profit Margin0.51 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.62 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation16.47 B16.62 B
Shares Owned By Institutions18.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.09 K4.71 M
Price To Earning7.77 X28.72 X
Revenue619.06 M9.43 B
Gross Profit597.94 M27.38 B
EBITDA868.66 M3.9 B
Net Income353.83 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents346.96 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt13.5 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity4.92 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.91 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share12.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.1 B971.22 M
Short Ratio0.45 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.11 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees63018.84 K
Beta1.93-0.15
Total Asset17.04 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings97.05 M9.33 B
Z Score0.218.72
Annual Yield0.08 %
Net Asset17.04 B
Last Dividend Paid1.61

Arbor Realty Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arbor . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Arbor Realty Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Arbor Realty Trust? Buying financial instruments such as Arbor Preferred Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Arbor Preferred Stock

Arbor Realty financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arbor Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arbor with respect to the benefits of owning Arbor Realty security.