Archer Daniels (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ADM Stock   48.44  0.28  0.58%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Archer Daniels Midland is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Archer Daniels Midland given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Archer Daniels Midland, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Archer Daniels Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Archer and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Archer Daniels Midland. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.

Execute Archer Daniels Buy or Sell Advice

The Archer recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Archer Daniels Midland. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Archer Daniels Midland or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Archer Daniels' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Archer DanielsBuy Archer Daniels
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Archer Daniels Midland has a Mean Deviation of 1.05, Standard Deviation of 1.59 and Variance of 2.54
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement Archer Daniels trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Archer Daniels is not overpriced, please confirm all Archer Daniels Midland fundamentals, including its ebitda, beta, and the relationship between the price to book and cash flow from operations .

Archer Daniels Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Archer Daniels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Archer Daniels Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Archer Daniels' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Archer Daniels' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Archer Daniels daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Archer Daniels Midland price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Archer Daniels returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Archer Daniels.
Mean Return
-0.16
Value At Risk
-2.16
Potential Upside
2.15
Standard Deviation
1.59
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Archer Daniels historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Archer Daniels Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Archer Daniels or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Archer Daniels' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Archer stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
1.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Archer Daniels Volatility Alert

Archer Daniels Midland exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.18 and kurtosis of 6.83. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Archer Daniels' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Archer Daniels' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Archer Daniels Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Archer Daniels' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Archer Daniels' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Archer Daniels and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Archer Daniels or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Archer Daniels' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Archer Daniels by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Archer Daniels to competition
FundamentalsArcher DanielsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.0457-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation56.57 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding548.01 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.63 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions82.90 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.12 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.48 X11.42 X
Revenue101.85 B9.43 B
Gross Profit7.57 B27.38 B
EBITDA6.63 B3.9 B
Net Income4.37 B570.98 M
Total Debt8.68 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share44.39 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations3.48 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share7.27 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth16.45 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees40.36 K18.84 K
Beta0.79-0.15
Market Capitalization40.87 B19.03 B
Total Asset37.03 B29.47 B
Z Score4.48.72
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset37.03 B
Last Dividend Paid1.6

Archer Daniels Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Archer . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Archer Daniels Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Archer Daniels Midland? Buying financial instruments such as Archer Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Archer Daniels in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Junk Bonds Funds Thematic Idea Now

Junk Bonds Funds
Junk Bonds Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest most of their assets into speculative (junk) bonds or to other fixed income instruments with interest rates 3 to 4 percentage points above government issues. The Junk Bonds Funds theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Junk Bonds Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Archer Stock Analysis

When running Archer Daniels' price analysis, check to measure Archer Daniels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archer Daniels is operating at the current time. Most of Archer Daniels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archer Daniels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archer Daniels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archer Daniels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.