Automatic Data Processing Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ADP Stock  USD 304.57  5.98  2.00%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Automatic Data Processing is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Automatic Data Processing given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Automatic Data. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Automatic Data Processing, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Automatic Data Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Automatic and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Automatic Data Processing. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute Automatic Data Buy or Sell Advice

The Automatic recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Automatic Data Processing. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Automatic Data Processing or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Automatic Data's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Automatic DataBuy Automatic Data
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Automatic Data Processing has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1531, Jensen Alpha of 0.1189, Total Risk Alpha of 0.075, Sortino Ratio of 0.1297 and Treynor Ratio of 0.237
Macroaxis provides advice on Automatic Data Processing to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Automatic Data Processing. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Automatic Data is not overpriced, please confirm all Automatic Data Processing fundamentals, including its price to sales, debt to equity, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the net income and short ratio . Given that Automatic Data Processing has a price to earning of 35.60 X, we suggest you to validate Automatic Data Processing market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Automatic Data Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Automatic Data Processing has 3.8 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.4, which is OK given its current industry classification. Automatic Data Processing has a current ratio of 0.95, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Automatic to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 84.0% of Automatic Data shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 1st of October 2024 Automatic Data paid $ 1.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from talkmarkets.com: 3 Canadian Bank Stocks With High Dividend Yields

Automatic Data Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Automatic Data's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Automatic Data's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Automatic Data daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Automatic Data Processing price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Automatic Data returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Automatic Data.
Mean Return
0.20
Value At Risk
-1.25
Potential Upside
1.41
Standard Deviation
0.98
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Automatic Data historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Automatic Stock Institutional Investors

The Automatic Data's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Automatic Data's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
5.3 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-09-30
4.8 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
4.1 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
M
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co2024-09-30
3.7 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
3.5 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
3.2 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-06-30
2.9 M
Ninety One Uk Limited2024-09-30
2.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
40.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
34.1 M
Note, although Automatic Data's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Automatic Data Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash257.4M6.1B9.6B(14.0B)829.9M871.4M
Free Cash Flow2.4B2.6B2.5B3.6B3.6B3.8B
Depreciation480M510.7M515.1M549.3M561.9M340.5M
Dividends Paid1.5B1.6B1.7B1.9B2.2B2.3B
Capital Expenditures616.4M505.9M553.4M571.6M563.4M326.2M
Net Income2.5B2.6B2.9B3.4B3.8B3.9B
End Period Cash Flow7.1B13.1B22.8B8.8B2.9B3.1B
Other Non Cash Items1.0B997.3M1.0B1.0B1.1B1.1B
Change To Inventory107.7M266M(77.5M)(938.7M)(1.1B)(1.0B)
Investments3.7B(3.0B)(6.5B)(2.5B)(1.4B)(1.5B)
Change Receivables(113.8M)(339.8M)(486.5M)129.2M116.3M122.1M
Net Borrowings(2.2M)989.6M127.4M(1M)(1.2M)(1.1M)
Change To Netincome220.1M(13.8M)318.6M291.8M335.6M211.1M

Automatic Data Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Automatic Data or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Automatic Data's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Automatic stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
1.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Automatic Data Volatility Alert

Automatic Data Processing exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.47 and kurtosis of 6.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Automatic Data's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Automatic Data's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Automatic Data Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Automatic Data's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Automatic Data's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Automatic Data and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Automatic Data or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Automatic Data's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Automatic Data by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Automatic Data to competition
FundamentalsAutomatic DataPeer Average
Return On Equity0.87-0.31
Return On Asset0.0654-0.14
Profit Margin0.20 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.26 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation123.24 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding407.46 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.12 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions84.42 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.51 M4.71 M
Price To Earning35.60 X28.72 X
Price To Book22.67 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.23 X11.42 X
Revenue19.2 B9.43 B
Gross Profit8.51 B27.38 B
EBITDA5.8 B3.9 B
Net Income3.75 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.23 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.97 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.8 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.97 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share13.12 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.16 B971.22 M
Short Ratio4.24 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share9.37 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.69 X4.89 X
Target Price298.67
Number Of Employees64 K18.84 K
Beta0.8-0.15
Market Capitalization121.66 B19.03 B
Total Asset54.36 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings23.62 B9.33 B
Working Capital462.5 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 17267 shares by Carlos Rodriguez of Automatic Data at 277.7033 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Automatic Data Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Automatic . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Automatic Data Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Automatic Data Processing? Buying financial instruments such as Automatic Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Automatic Data in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Asset Allocation ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Asset Allocation ETFs
Asset Allocation ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Asset Allocation ETFs theme has 144 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Asset Allocation ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Automatic Stock Analysis

When running Automatic Data's price analysis, check to measure Automatic Data's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Automatic Data is operating at the current time. Most of Automatic Data's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Automatic Data's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Automatic Data's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Automatic Data to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.