American Eagle (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AFG Stock  EUR 17.70  0.90  5.36%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Eagle Outfitters is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides American Eagle buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AFG positions.
  
Check out American Eagle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. American Eagle Outfitters. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute American Eagle Buy or Sell Advice

The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Eagle Outfitters. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Eagle Outfitters or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Eagle's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American EagleBuy American Eagle
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon American Eagle Outfitters has a Mean Deviation of 1.84, Standard Deviation of 2.25 and Variance of 5.05
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on American Eagle Outfitters and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure American Eagle is not overpriced, please confirm all American Eagle Outfitters fundamentals, including its profit margin, current valuation, shares owned by insiders, as well as the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

American Eagle Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

American Eagle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
American Eagle has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

American Eagle Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of American Eagle's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Eagle's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Eagle daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Eagle Outfitters price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Eagle returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Eagle.
Mean Return
-0.15
Value At Risk
-4.23
Potential Upside
2.86
Standard Deviation
2.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Eagle historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

American Eagle Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Eagle or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Eagle's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
2.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

American Eagle Volatility Alert

American Eagle Outfitters exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.25 and kurtosis of -0.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Eagle's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Eagle's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

American Eagle Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing American Eagle's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Eagle's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Eagle and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Eagle or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Eagle's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Eagle by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare American Eagle to competition
FundamentalsAmerican EaglePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0846-0.31
Return On Asset0.0454-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.47 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding187.41 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.26 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.34 %39.21 %
Price To Earning9.81 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.06 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.54 X11.42 X
Revenue5.01 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.99 B27.38 B
EBITDA774.16 M3.9 B
Net Income419.63 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents349.67 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.03 X5.01 X
Total Debt341 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity128.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.46 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.80 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations303.67 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.57 X3.12 X
Target Price39.83
Number Of Employees7.2 K18.84 K
Beta1.46-0.15
Market Capitalization2.52 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.79 B29.47 B
Z Score5.28.72
Annual Yield0.05 %
Five Year Return2.92 %
Net Asset3.79 B
Last Dividend Paid0.54

American Eagle Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About American Eagle Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell American Eagle Outfitters? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in American Stock

When determining whether American Eagle Outfitters offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of American Eagle's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of American Eagle Outfitters Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on American Eagle Outfitters Stock:
Check out American Eagle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Eagle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Eagle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Eagle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.