Amtrust Financial Services Stock Market Outlook
| AFSIP Stock | USD 14.85 0.74 5.24% |
Slightly above 55% of AmTrust Financial's retail investors are presently thinking to get in. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading AmTrust Financial Services pink sheet suggests that some investors are interested at this time. AmTrust Financial's investing sentiment overview a quick insight into current market opportunities from investing in AmTrust Financial Services. Many technical investors use AmTrust Financial stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets and to time the market correctly.
Comfort Level 55
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use AmTrust Financial's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward AmTrust Financial Services.
News SentimentNeutral | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding AmTrust Financial Services is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell AmTrust Financial Services within the specified time frame.
Execute AmTrust Financial Advice
The AmTrust recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AmTrust Financial Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AmTrust Financial Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AmTrust Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Risky | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
For the selected time horizon AmTrust Financial Services has a Mean Deviation of 1.36, Semi Deviation of 2.09, Standard Deviation of 2.54, Variance of 6.45, Downside Variance of 11.92 and Semi Variance of 4.37Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on AmTrust Financial and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure AmTrust Financial is not overpriced, please confirm all AmTrust Financial fundamentals, including its total debt, as well as the relationship between the earnings per share and five year return . Given that AmTrust Financial has a revenue of 5.82 B, we suggest you to validate AmTrust Financial Services market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
AmTrust Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| AmTrust Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.82 B. Net Loss for the year was (348.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 872.65 M. | |
| AmTrust Financial Services has accumulated about 756.1 M in cash with (375.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.82. |
AmTrust Financial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AmTrust Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AmTrust Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AmTrust Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AmTrust Financial Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AmTrust Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for AmTrust Financial.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -4.81 | Potential Upside | 4.55 | Standard Deviation | 2.54 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AmTrust Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AmTrust Financial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AmTrust Financial or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AmTrust Financial's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AmTrust pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
AmTrust Financial Volatility Alert
AmTrust Financial Services shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AmTrust Financial's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AmTrust Financial's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AmTrust Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AmTrust Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AmTrust Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AmTrust Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AmTrust Financial or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AmTrust Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AmTrust Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AmTrust Financial to competition |
| Fundamentals | AmTrust Financial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0707 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0108 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.07) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.69 B | 16.62 B |
| Price To Earning | 16.38 X | 28.72 X |
| Revenue | 5.82 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 872.65 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (284.69 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (348.89 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 756.1 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.82 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.46 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.50 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.62 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.60 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (375.3 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.98 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 9.3 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.62 | -0.15 |
| Total Asset | 25.22 B | 29.47 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.12 % | |
| Five Year Return | 11.24 % | |
| Net Asset | 25.22 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.34 |
AmTrust Financial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AmTrust . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About AmTrust Financial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AmTrust Financial Services? Buying financial instruments such as AmTrust Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for AmTrust Pink Sheet Analysis
When running AmTrust Financial's price analysis, check to measure AmTrust Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AmTrust Financial is operating at the current time. Most of AmTrust Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AmTrust Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AmTrust Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AmTrust Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.