Agios Pharm Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AGIO Stock  USD 55.68  0.14  0.25%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Agios Pharm is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Agios Pharm's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Agios Pharm Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Agios Stock, please use our How to Invest in Agios Pharm guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Agios and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Agios Pharm. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Agios Pharm Buy or Sell Advice

The Agios recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Agios Pharm. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Agios Pharm or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Agios Pharm's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Agios PharmBuy Agios Pharm
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Agios Pharm has a Mean Deviation of 2.2, Semi Deviation of 2.37, Standard Deviation of 2.92, Variance of 8.51, Downside Variance of 7.06 and Semi Variance of 5.61
Our advice module provides unbiased investment recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Agios Pharm. Our advice engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Agios Pharm is not overpriced, please confirm all Agios Pharm fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, net income, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Agios Pharm has a number of shares shorted of 4.34 M, we suggest you to validate Agios Pharm market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Agios Pharm Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 26.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (352.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.54 M.
Agios Pharm currently holds about 819.31 M in cash with (296.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 14.95.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: C4 Therapeutics Appoints Accomplished Oncology Executive Steve Hoerter to Board of Directors

Agios Pharm Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Agios Pharm's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Agios Pharm's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Agios Pharm daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Agios Pharm price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Agios Pharm returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Agios Pharm.
Mean Return
0.34
Value At Risk
-4.04
Potential Upside
5.24
Standard Deviation
2.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Agios Pharm historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Agios Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Agios Pharm, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agios Pharm back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
1.2 M
Bvf Inc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-06-30
1.1 M
Rock Springs Capital Management Lp2024-06-30
M
Bnp Paribas Investment Partners Sa2024-06-30
911.2 K
Arrowmark Colorado Holdings, Llc (arrowmark Partners)2024-09-30
882.7 K
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
855.3 K
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-06-30
662.2 K
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
630.9 K
Farallon Capital Management, L.l.c.2024-09-30
5.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
5.5 M
Note, although Agios Pharm's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Agios Pharm Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash10.4M46.5M75.7M(63.9M)(51.1M)(48.5M)
Free Cash Flow(382.8M)(305.7M)(413.1M)(314.4M)(297.1M)(311.9M)
Depreciation8.1M10.0M9.2M8.6M6.6M5.9M
Other Non Cash Items8.5M19.5M9.5M(119.1M)23.7M24.9M
Capital Expenditures12.2M14.9M5.7M4.9M999K949.1K
Net Income(411.5M)(327.4M)(356.5M)(231.8M)(352.1M)(334.5M)
End Period Cash Flow80.9M127.4M203.1M139.3M88.2M113.3M
Change To Netincome73.4M75.1M(39.7M)49.2M56.6M39.0M
Change To Inventory(6.5M)(7.4M)4.4M(8.5M)(10.6M)(10.1M)
Investments103.6M90.7M(548.4M)243.3M239.6M251.6M

Agios Pharm Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Agios Pharm or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Agios Pharm's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Agios stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.12
σ
Overall volatility
2.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Agios Pharm Volatility Alert

Agios Pharm currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Agios Pharm's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Agios Pharm's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Agios Pharm Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Agios Pharm's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Agios Pharm's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Agios Pharm and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Agios Pharm or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Agios Pharm's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agios Pharm by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Agios Pharm to competition
FundamentalsAgios PharmPeer Average
Return On Equity0.54-0.31
Return On Asset-0.18-0.14
Profit Margin20.51 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(11.47) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.23 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding57.03 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.50 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.50 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.34 M4.71 M
Price To Earning1.26 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.95 X9.51 X
Price To Sales96.60 X11.42 X
Revenue26.82 M9.43 B
Gross Profit12.54 M27.38 B
EBITDA(384.86 M)3.9 B
Net Income(352.09 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents819.31 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share14.95 X5.01 X
Total Debt72 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.08 %48.70 %
Current Ratio17.98 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share28.53 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(296.06 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio9.39 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share11.66 X3.12 X
Target Price53.88
Number Of Employees38318.84 K
Beta0.75-0.15
Market Capitalization3.18 B19.03 B
Total Asset937.12 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(822.65 M)9.33 B
Working Capital765.88 M1.48 B
Current Asset337.33 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 300 shares by Foster-cheek Kaye I of Agios Pharm at 32.21 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Agios Pharm Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Agios . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Agios Pharm Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Agios Pharm? Buying financial instruments such as Agios Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Agios Pharm in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Small Value Funds
Small Value Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in the undervalued stocks of small to mid-sized companies. The Small Value Funds theme has 35 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Small Value Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Agios Pharm offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Agios Pharm's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Agios Pharm Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Agios Pharm Stock:
Check out Agios Pharm Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Agios Stock, please use our How to Invest in Agios Pharm guide.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agios Pharm. If investors know Agios will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agios Pharm listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
11.66
Revenue Per Share
0.582
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.212
Return On Assets
(0.18)
Return On Equity
0.5366
The market value of Agios Pharm is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agios that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agios Pharm's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agios Pharm's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agios Pharm's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agios Pharm's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agios Pharm's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agios Pharm is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agios Pharm's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.