Australian Dairy (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AHF Stock   0.03  0  7.69%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Australian Dairy Farms is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Australian Dairy Farms given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Australian Dairy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Australian Dairy Farms, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Australian Dairy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Australian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Australian Dairy Farms. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Australian Dairy Buy or Sell Advice

The Australian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Australian Dairy Farms. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Australian Dairy Farms or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Australian Dairy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Australian DairyBuy Australian Dairy
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Australian Dairy Farms has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0964, Jensen Alpha of 0.5874, Total Risk Alpha of (0.10), Sortino Ratio of 0.0788 and Treynor Ratio of 0.7991
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Australian Dairy Farms. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Australian Dairy is not overpriced, please confirm all Australian Dairy Farms fundamentals, including its price to sales, gross profit, and the relationship between the price to book and revenue .

Australian Dairy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Australian Dairy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Australian Dairy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Australian Dairy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 6.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.36 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (288.23 K).
Australian Dairy generates negative cash flow from operations
About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Farm Fresh hits record high will the stock keep climbing - The Edge Malaysia

Australian Dairy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Australian Dairy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Australian Dairy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Australian Dairy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Australian Dairy Farms price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Australian Dairy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Australian Dairy.
Mean Return
0.68
Value At Risk
-10
Potential Upside
10.53
Standard Deviation
5.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Australian Dairy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Australian Dairy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash2.6M(169.7K)(3.8M)(424.3K)4.1M4.3M
Free Cash Flow(3.6M)(7.1M)(6.9M)(7.9M)(4.7M)(5.0M)
Depreciation1.8M1.1M995.1K875.6K1.0M868.7K
Other Non Cash Items7.8M4.8M817.1K1.2M1.9M1.3M
Capital Expenditures1.3M5.1M3.1M856.8K281.6K267.5K
Net Income(7.5M)(6.9M)(4.1M)(9.2M)(7.4M)(7.0M)
End Period Cash Flow6.4M6.2M2.4M2.0M6.1M3.4M
Change To Inventory(129.5K)219.2K(360.0K)(639.7K)(728.8K)(692.4K)
Investments(2.5M)1.1M3.1M6.2M6.7M7.1M
Net Borrowings(363.5K)(6.4M)(5.8M)(984.1K)(885.6K)(841.4K)
Change To Netincome3.7M2.7M646.4K3.0M3.5M3.7M

Australian Dairy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Australian Dairy or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Australian Dairy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Australian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
5.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Australian Dairy Volatility Alert

Australian Dairy Farms exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Australian Dairy Farms is a penny stock. Although Australian Dairy may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Australian Dairy Farms. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Australian instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Australian Dairy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Australian Dairy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Australian Dairy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Australian Dairy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Australian Dairy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Australian Dairy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Australian Dairy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Australian Dairy to competition
FundamentalsAustralian DairyPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.25-0.31
Return On Asset-0.12-0.14
Profit Margin(1.17) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(1.60) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation16.94 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding743.32 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders42.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions5.71 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.77 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.44 X11.42 X
Revenue6.18 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(288.23 K)27.38 B
EBITDA(6.26 M)3.9 B
Net Income(7.36 M)570.98 M
Total Debt2.25 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0.04 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(4.44 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.01) X3.12 X
Target Price0.16
Beta-0.28-0.15
Market Capitalization21.56 M19.03 B
Total Asset30.35 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(53.46 M)9.33 B
Working Capital5.4 M1.48 B
Net Asset30.35 M

Australian Dairy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Australian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Australian Dairy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Australian Dairy Farms? Buying financial instruments such as Australian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Australian Stock Analysis

When running Australian Dairy's price analysis, check to measure Australian Dairy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Australian Dairy is operating at the current time. Most of Australian Dairy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Australian Dairy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Australian Dairy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Australian Dairy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.