Air T Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AIRT Stock  USD 19.39  1.07  5.84%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Air T Inc is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Air T Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Air T. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Air T Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Air T Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Air and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Air T Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Air T Buy or Sell Advice

The Air recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Air T Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Air T Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Air T's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Air TBuy Air T
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Air T Inc has a Mean Deviation of 3.2, Standard Deviation of 4.84 and Variance of 23.39
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Air T Inc and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Air T is not overpriced, please confirm all Air T Inc fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, current asset, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and beta . Given that Air T Inc has a number of shares shorted of 33.94 K, we suggest you to validate Air T Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Air T Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Air T Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Air T Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 286.83 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.66 M.
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Signals - Stock Traders Daily

Air T Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Air T's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Air T's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Air T daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Air T Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Air T returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Air T.
Mean Return
-0.12
Value At Risk
-7.13
Potential Upside
7.17
Standard Deviation
4.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Air T historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Air Stock Institutional Investors

The Air T's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Air T's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
2.0
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
1.0
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-06-30
0.0
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
120.1 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
52.8 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
17.2 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
11.8 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
11.3 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
5.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
2.3 K
Note, although Air T's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Air T Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash3.0M356K(7.6M)(1.3M)753K790.7K
Free Cash Flow(63.8M)(7.8M)(34.6M)15.7M16.1M16.9M
Depreciation5.7M3.1M1.9M4.2M2.8M2.7M
Other Non Cash Items(5.2M)6.0M(6.7M)7.1M800K840K
Capital Expenditures38.7M6.0M1.6M1.2M1.1M1.0M
Net Income3.2M(8.4M)12.2M(11.8M)(4.7M)(4.4M)
End Period Cash Flow15.6M15.9M8.4M7.1M7.8M4.9M
Change To Inventory(29.6M)(129K)(17.6M)10.2M9.1M9.6M
Change To Netincome(654K)4.8M(5.4M)(175K)(201.3K)(191.2K)
Investments(3.2M)1.8M(6.0M)(3.1M)(2.5M)(2.6M)
Net Borrowings15.3M2.4M56.5M(10.9M)(12.5M)(11.9M)

Air T Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Air T or Air Freight & Logistics sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Air T's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Air stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
4.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Air T Volatility Alert

Air T Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.81 and kurtosis of 7.46. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Air T's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Air T's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Air T Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Air T's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Air T's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Air T and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Air T or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Air T's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air T by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Air T to competition
FundamentalsAir TPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0028-0.31
Return On Asset0.0108-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation191.46 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders51.16 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions24.90 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted33.94 K4.71 M
Price To Earning6.19 X28.72 X
Price To Book7.61 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.19 X11.42 X
Revenue286.83 M9.43 B
Gross Profit45.66 M27.38 B
EBITDA5.85 M3.9 B
Net Income(4.68 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents8.09 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.82 X5.01 X
Total Debt125.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity4.16 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.66 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.55 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations17.18 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.37 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.87) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees62418.84 K
Beta0.73-0.15
Market Capitalization53.52 M19.03 B
Total Asset177.17 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings8.19 M9.33 B
Working Capital56.04 M1.48 B
Current Asset38.96 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities15.72 M7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Nicholas Swenson of 1723 shares of Air T at 24.8199 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Air T Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Air T Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Air T Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Air Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Air T in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Hybrid Mix Funds
Hybrid Mix Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that are made of portfolios of stocks, bonds, or cash instruments with different maturity horizons and characteristics. The Hybrid Mix Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Hybrid Mix Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Air Stock Analysis

When running Air T's price analysis, check to measure Air T's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air T is operating at the current time. Most of Air T's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air T's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air T's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air T to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.