Allot Communications Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALLT Stock  USD 4.39  0.54  14.03%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Allot Communications is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Allot Communications given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Allot Communications. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Allot Communications, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Allot Communications Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Allot Stock please use our How to Invest in Allot Communications guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Allot and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Allot Communications. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Allot Communications Buy or Sell Advice

The Allot recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Allot Communications. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Allot Communications or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Allot Communications' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Allot CommunicationsBuy Allot Communications
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

UnstableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Allot Communications has a Mean Deviation of 2.36, Semi Deviation of 2.56, Standard Deviation of 3.2, Variance of 10.24, Downside Variance of 7.95 and Semi Variance of 6.58
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Allot Communications. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Allot Communications is not overpriced, please confirm all Allot Communications fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Allot Communications has a price to earning of (15.43) X, we suggest you to validate Allot Communications market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Allot Communications Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Allot Communications had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Allot Communications has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 93.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (62.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 82.91 M.
Allot Communications currently holds about 106.68 M in cash with (29.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.9.
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Allot Ltd Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights A Return to Profitability and Strategic ...

Allot Communications Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Allot Communications' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Allot Communications' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Allot Communications daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Allot Communications price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Allot Communications returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Allot Communications.
Mean Return
0.23
Value At Risk
-5.16
Potential Upside
6.48
Standard Deviation
3.20
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Allot Communications historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Allot Stock Institutional Investors

The Allot Communications' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Allot Communications' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
S Squared Technology, Llc2024-09-30
169.6 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
96.5 K
Silverberg Bernstein Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
93.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
36.2 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
27.4 K
Pfg Investments, Llc2024-09-30
25.8 K
Simplex Trading, Llc2024-06-30
25.3 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
21.3 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
15.7 K
Lynrock Lake Lp2024-06-30
8.8 M
Qvt Financial Lp2024-06-30
2.9 M
Note, although Allot Communications' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Allot Communications Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(138K)(1.9M)1.5M(2.2M)1.4M1.5M
Change In Cash594K6.7M(11.9M)578K1.9M2.0M
Free Cash Flow12.4M(19.8M)(16.0M)(38.2M)(32.2M)(30.6M)
Depreciation4.2M4.3M5.6M7.4M8.1M4.6M
Other Non Cash Items236K(78K)(420K)171K(2.9M)(2.7M)
Capital Expenditures3.7M7.6M7.6M5.6M2.5M3.5M
Net Income(8.7M)(9.3M)(15.0M)(32.0M)(62.8M)(59.7M)
End Period Cash Flow16.9M23.6M11.7M12.3M14.2M21.6M
Investments(16.5M)17.1M1.6M(6.5M)47.2M49.5M
Change To Netincome3.4M5.2M8M9.2M8.2M5.3M

Allot Communications Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Allot Communications or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Allot Communications' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Allot stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.13
σ
Overall volatility
3.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Allot Communications Volatility Alert

Allot Communications currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Allot Communications' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Allot Communications' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Allot Communications Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Allot Communications' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Allot Communications' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Allot Communications and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Allot Communications or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Allot Communications' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Allot Communications by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Allot Communications to competition
FundamentalsAllot CommunicationsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.6-0.31
Return On Asset-0.15-0.14
Profit Margin(0.40) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.15) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation144.04 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding39.29 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.15 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions56.80 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted28.33 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(15.43) X28.72 X
Price To Book3.16 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.66 X11.42 X
Revenue93.15 M9.43 B
Gross Profit82.91 M27.38 B
EBITDA(55.13 M)3.9 B
Net Income(62.8 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents106.68 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.90 X5.01 X
Total Debt41.93 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.82 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(29.74 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.41 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.65) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.53 X4.89 X
Target Price13.0
Number Of Employees50018.84 K
Beta1.05-0.15
Market Capitalization151.26 M19.03 B
Total Asset138.16 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(259.83 M)9.33 B
Working Capital50.5 M1.48 B

Allot Communications Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Allot . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Allot Communications Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Allot Communications? Buying financial instruments such as Allot Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Allot Stock Analysis

When running Allot Communications' price analysis, check to measure Allot Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allot Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Allot Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allot Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allot Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allot Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.