Ambow Education Holding Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AMBO Stock  USD 1.45  0.02  1.36%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ambow Education Holding is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Ambow Education's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Ambow Education Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ambow and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ambow Education Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Ambow Education Buy or Sell Advice

The Ambow recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ambow Education Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ambow Education Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ambow Education's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ambow EducationBuy Ambow Education
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves completely opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Ambow Education Holding has a Mean Deviation of 9.87, Semi Deviation of 8.67, Standard Deviation of 29.34, Variance of 860.65, Downside Variance of 95.45 and Semi Variance of 75.09
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Ambow Education Holding. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Ambow Education is not overpriced, please confirm all Ambow Education Holding fundamentals, including its ebitda, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Please also double-check Ambow Education Holding price to book to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Ambow Education Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ambow Education is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ambow Education may become a speculative penny stock
Ambow Education appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Ambow Education has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Ambow Education Holding currently holds 10.77 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.45, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ambow Education Holding has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ambow Education's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 9.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.17 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (581 K).
Ambow Education Holding currently holds about 140.33 M in cash with (290 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Ambow Education has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Ambow Education Stock Surges 5.60 percent Amid Market Activity

Ambow Education Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ambow Education's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ambow Education's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ambow Education daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ambow Education Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ambow Education returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ambow Education.
Mean Return
2.21
Value At Risk
-12.31
Potential Upside
10.71
Standard Deviation
29.34
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ambow Education historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ambow Education Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(32.9M)(30.0M)12.6M(105.0M)(94.5M)(89.7M)
Change In Cash(83.9M)(38.0M)39.6M(164.0M)2.4M2.5M
Free Cash Flow(27.1M)(6.0M)(35.8M)(63.8M)(290K)(304.5K)
Depreciation57.4M68.2M53.6M25.8M2.1M2.0M
Other Non Cash Items43.3M(3.7M)(2.4M)(23.3M)656K623.2K
Capital Expenditures22.2M18.9M16.9M10.9M19.8M0.0
Net Income(100.4M)(64.0M)2.0M(63.8M)(3.2M)(3.3M)
End Period Cash Flow157.6M119.6M159.2M52.9M10.1M9.6M
Change To Netincome(30.5M)(11.4M)51.2M(8.8M)(10.2M)(9.7M)
Investments(28.5M)(33.2M)(75M)107.2M(134.4M)0.0

Ambow Education Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ambow Education or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ambow Education's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ambow stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-7.37
σ
Overall volatility
29.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Ambow Education Volatility Alert

Ambow Education Holding is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ambow Education's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ambow Education's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Ambow Education Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ambow Education's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ambow Education's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ambow Education and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ambow Education or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ambow Education's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ambow Education by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ambow Education to competition
FundamentalsAmbow EducationPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.44-0.31
Return On Asset-0.12-0.14
Profit Margin(0.35) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.80) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.11 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.6 M571.82 M
Number Of Shares Shorted84.09 K4.71 M
Price To Earning13.25 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.65 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.46 X11.42 X
Revenue9.16 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(581 K)27.38 B
EBITDA(2.21 M)3.9 B
Net Income(3.17 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents140.33 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.39 X5.01 X
Total Debt10.77 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity4.45 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.68 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.25 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(290 K)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.02 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.20) X3.12 X
Target Price55.39
Number Of Employees3718.84 K
Beta0.72-0.15
Market Capitalization4.17 M19.03 B
Total Asset20.57 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(510.63 M)9.33 B
Working Capital2.72 M1.48 B
Current Asset265.25 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities230.34 M7.9 B
Net Asset20.57 M

Ambow Education Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ambow . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ambow Education Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ambow Education Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Ambow Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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When determining whether Ambow Education Holding offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ambow Education's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ambow Education Holding Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ambow Education Holding Stock:
Check out Ambow Education Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ambow Education. If investors know Ambow will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ambow Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.361
Earnings Share
(1.20)
Revenue Per Share
3.253
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.40)
Return On Assets
(0.12)
The market value of Ambow Education Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ambow that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ambow Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ambow Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ambow Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ambow Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ambow Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ambow Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ambow Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.