Air New Zealand Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ANZFF Stock  USD 0.31  0.02  6.90%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Air New Zealand is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Air New buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Air New positions.
  
Check out Air New Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Air and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Air New Zealand. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Air New Buy or Sell Advice

The Air recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Air New Zealand. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Air New Zealand or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Air New's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Air NewBuy Air New
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Air New Zealand has a Mean Deviation of 1.67, Standard Deviation of 3.23 and Variance of 10.46
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Air New Zealand. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Air New is not overpriced, please confirm all Air New Zealand fundamentals, including its price to sales, debt to equity, market capitalization, as well as the relationship between the net income and earnings per share . As Air New Zealand appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its price to earning numbers.

Air New Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Air New Zealand generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Air New Zealand has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Air New Zealand has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Air New Zealand has accumulated 1.59 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.01, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Air New Zealand has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Air New until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Air New's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Air New Zealand sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Air to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Air New's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.73 B. Net Loss for the year was (591 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 410 M.
About 52.0% of Air New shares are held by company insiders

Air New Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Air New's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Air New's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Air New daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Air New Zealand price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Air New returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Air New.
Mean Return
-0.09
Value At Risk
-8.33
Potential Upside
6.06
Standard Deviation
3.23
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Air New historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Air New Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Air New or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Air New's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Air pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.54
σ
Overall volatility
3.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Air New Volatility Alert

Air New Zealand exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.52 and kurtosis of 2.9. Air New Zealand is a potential penny stock. Although Air New may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Air New Zealand. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Air instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Air New Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Air New's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Air New's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Air New and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Air New or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Air New's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air New by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Air New to competition
FundamentalsAir NewPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.43-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0557-0.14
Profit Margin(0.22) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.25) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.36 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.37 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders52.40 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions7.01 %39.21 %
Price To Earning5.55 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.56 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.62 X11.42 X
Revenue2.73 B9.43 B
Gross Profit410 M27.38 B
EBITDA(48 M)3.9 B
Net Income(591 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.79 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.53 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.59 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.79 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.50 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations550 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.28) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.87 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees8.86 K18.84 K
Beta1.42-0.15
Market Capitalization1.76 B19.03 B
Total Asset8.35 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(120 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(132 M)1.48 B
Current Asset2.34 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.47 B7.9 B
Z Score0.68.72

Air New Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Air New Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Air New Zealand? Buying financial instruments such as Air Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Air Pink Sheet

Air New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Air Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Air with respect to the benefits of owning Air New security.