Africa Oil (Sweden) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AOI Stock  SEK 15.55  0.58  3.60%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Africa Oil Corp is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Africa Oil Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Africa Oil. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Africa Oil Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Africa Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Africa and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Africa Oil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Africa Oil Buy or Sell Advice

The Africa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Africa Oil Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Africa Oil Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Africa Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Africa OilBuy Africa Oil
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Africa Oil Corp has a Mean Deviation of 1.67, Semi Deviation of 2.24, Standard Deviation of 2.09, Variance of 4.36, Downside Variance of 5.2 and Semi Variance of 5.0
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Africa Oil Corp and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Africa Oil is not overpriced, please confirm all Africa Oil Corp fundamentals, including its price to book, cash per share, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and book value per share .

Africa Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Africa Oil Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Africa Oil Corp has accumulated about 355.23 M in cash with (10.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.75.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Africa Oil Boosts Stake in Impact Oil and Gas - TipRanks

Africa Oil Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Africa Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Africa Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Africa Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Africa Oil Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Africa Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Africa Oil.
Mean Return
0.02
Value At Risk
-3.57
Potential Upside
3.43
Standard Deviation
2.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Africa Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Africa Oil Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Africa Oil or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Africa Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Africa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
2.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Africa Oil Volatility Alert

Africa Oil Corp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.05 and Jensen Alpha of -0.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Africa Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Africa Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Africa Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Africa Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Africa Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Africa Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Africa Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Africa Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Africa Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Africa Oil to competition
FundamentalsAfrica OilPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0153-0.14
Profit Margin1.23 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.18) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.67 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding460.59 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders15.71 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.20 %39.21 %
Price To Earning(277.25) X28.72 X
Price To Book0.83 X9.51 X
Price To Sales63.12 X11.42 X
Gross Profit226.88 M27.38 B
EBITDA208.99 M3.9 B
Net Income190.72 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents355.23 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.75 X5.01 X
Total Debt609 K5.32 B
Current Ratio10.21 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(10.21 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share3.83 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.46 X4.89 X
Target Price28.67
Number Of Employees818.84 K
Beta1.58-0.15
Market Capitalization10.28 B19.03 B
Total Asset991.62 M29.47 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset991.62 M
Last Dividend Paid0.05

Africa Oil Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Africa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Africa Oil Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Africa Oil Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Africa Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Africa Stock Analysis

When running Africa Oil's price analysis, check to measure Africa Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Africa Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Africa Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Africa Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Africa Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Africa Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.