Api Group Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

APG Stock  USD 37.00  1.00  2.78%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Api Group Corp is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Api Group buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding APG positions.
  
Check out Api Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Api and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Api Group Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Api Group Buy or Sell Advice

The Api recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Api Group Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Api Group Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Api Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Api GroupBuy Api Group
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Api Group Corp has a Mean Deviation of 1.34, Semi Deviation of 1.67, Standard Deviation of 1.81, Variance of 3.28, Downside Variance of 2.96 and Semi Variance of 2.8
Api Group advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Api Group is not overpriced, please confirm all Api Group Corp fundamentals, including its gross profit, debt to equity, and the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Api Group Corp has a number of shares shorted of 5.12 M, we suggest you to validate Api Group Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Api Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Building Industry Partners Announces Strategic Sale of Rapidly Growing Endeavor Fire Protection to APi Group Corporation

Api Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Api Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Api Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Api Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Api Group Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Api Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Api Group.
Mean Return
0.07
Value At Risk
-3.02
Potential Upside
3.26
Standard Deviation
1.81
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Api Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Api Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Cooke & Bieler Lp2024-09-30
3.9 M
Select Equity Group Lp2024-09-30
3.9 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
3.6 M
State Street Corp2024-06-30
3.6 M
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
2.7 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
2.7 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
2.5 M
M.d. Sass, Llc2024-09-30
2.3 M
Progeny 3, Inc.2024-09-30
2.3 M
Viking Global Investors Lp2024-06-30
27 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
23 M
Note, although Api Group's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Api Group Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory87M11M(2M)(30M)13M7.9M
Investments(1.7B)(340M)(121M)(2.9B)(115M)(120.8M)
Change In Cash(181M)259M976M(884M)(127M)(120.7M)
Free Cash Flow139M458M127M191M428M229.4M
Other Non Cash Items(2M)227M62M33M111M66.9M
Dividends Paid74M53M3M673M774.0M812.6M
Capital Expenditures11M38M55M79M86M60.0M
End Period Cash Flow256M515M1.5B607M480M541.2M
Change To Netincome206M158M80M(43M)(38.7M)(36.8M)

Api Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Api Group or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Api Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Api stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.36
σ
Overall volatility
1.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Api Group Volatility Alert

Api Group Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.16 and kurtosis of 0.73. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Api Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Api Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Api Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Api Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Api Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Api Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Api Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Api Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Api Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Api Group to competition
FundamentalsApi GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0694-0.31
Return On Asset0.0339-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.54 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding274.78 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.63 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions79.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.12 M4.71 M
Price To Book3.33 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.43 X11.42 X
Revenue6.93 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.74 B27.38 B
EBITDA674 M3.9 B
Net Income153 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.19 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.66 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.57 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.62 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share10.80 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations514 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.41 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.74) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.71 X4.89 X
Target Price43.22
Number Of Employees29 K18.84 K
Beta1.82-0.15
Market Capitalization9.89 B19.03 B
Total Asset7.59 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(11 M)9.33 B
Working Capital775 M1.48 B
Current Asset1.43 B9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 7152 shares by Ian Ashken of Api Group at 37.05 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Api Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Api . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Api Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Api Group Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Api Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Api Group in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Api Group Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Api Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Api Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Api Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Api Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Api Group. If investors know Api will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Api Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.563
Earnings Share
(1.74)
Revenue Per Share
26.82
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.024
Return On Assets
0.0339
The market value of Api Group Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Api that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Api Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Api Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Api Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Api Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Api Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Api Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Api Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.