Applovin Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| APP Stock | USD 366.34 5.59 1.55% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Applovin Corp is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Applovin Corp within the specified time frame.
Check out Applovin Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Applovin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Applovin Corp guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Applovin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Applovin Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Applovin |
Execute Applovin Corp Buy or Sell Advice
The Applovin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Applovin Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Applovin Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Applovin Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Applovin Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Applovin Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Applovin Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Applovin Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Unpacking the Latest Options Trading Trends in AppLovin - Benzinga |
Applovin Corp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Applovin Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Applovin Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Applovin Corp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Applovin Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Applovin Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Applovin Corp.
| Mean Return | 1.48 | Value At Risk | -6.27 | Potential Upside | 7.62 | Standard Deviation | 7.15 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Applovin Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Applovin Stock Institutional Investors
The Applovin Corp's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Applovin Corp's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Jericho Capital Asset Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 3.3 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.2 M | Whale Rock Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 3 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 3 M | Kensico Capital Management Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2.6 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 2.4 M | Lone Pine Capital Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M | Hhg Plc | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 23.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 14.4 M |
Applovin Corp Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Investments | (2M) | (15M) | (1.4B) | (48.7M) | (43.9M) | (46.1M) | |
| Change In Cash | (79.0M) | 2.3B | (1.5B) | (578.3M) | (520.5M) | (494.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 372.0M | 407.3M | 1.6B | (49.9M) | (57.4M) | (54.5M) | |
| Depreciation | 255.0M | 431.1M | 547.1M | 489.0M | 562.4M | 335.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.2M | 5.5M | 6.6M | 4.2M | 4.9M | 4.5M | |
| Net Income | (125.9M) | 35.3M | (192.9M) | 356.7M | 410.2M | 430.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 317.2M | 2.6B | 1.1B | 502.2M | 577.5M | 942.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 14.8M | 152.0M | 166.9M | 338.2M | 388.9M | 408.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 219.6M | 356.4M | 406.2M | 1.1B | 1.2B | 1.3B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 100.6M | 38.9M | 159.5M | 61.4M | 70.6M | 80.9M |
Applovin Corp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Applovin Corp or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Applovin Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Applovin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Applovin Corp Volatility Alert
Applovin Corp is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Applovin Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Applovin Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Applovin Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Applovin Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Applovin Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Applovin Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Applovin Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Applovin Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Applovin Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Applovin Corp to competition |
| Fundamentals | Applovin Corp | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 1.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.18 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.27 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.45 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 125.88 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 298.67 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 26.80 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 65.04 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 12.49 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 574.62 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 131.04 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 28.66 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.28 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.17 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.15 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 356.71 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 951.56 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.57 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.18 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.73 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.82 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.80 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.06 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.83 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.30 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.42 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 361.6 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.72 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.86 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 122.94 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.36 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (812.99 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 672.04 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 3662 shares by Herald Chen of Applovin Corp at 349.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Applovin Corp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Applovin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 166080.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3035 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 361.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 363.07 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 7.7 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 5.59 |
About Applovin Corp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Applovin Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Applovin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Applovin Stock Analysis
When running Applovin Corp's price analysis, check to measure Applovin Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applovin Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Applovin Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applovin Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applovin Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applovin Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.