Algonquin Power Utilities Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AQN Stock  USD 4.41  0.14  3.28%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Algonquin Power Utilities is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Algonquin Power's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Algonquin Power Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Algonquin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Algonquin Power Utilities. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.

Execute Algonquin Power Buy or Sell Advice

The Algonquin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Algonquin Power Utilities. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Algonquin Power Utilities or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Algonquin Power's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Algonquin PowerBuy Algonquin Power
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Algonquin Power Utilities has a Mean Deviation of 1.25, Standard Deviation of 1.6 and Variance of 2.56
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Algonquin Power Utilities. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Algonquin Power is not overpriced, please confirm all Algonquin Power Utilities fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, cash per share, beta, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Algonquin Power Utilities has a price to earning of 5.61 X, we suggest you to validate Algonquin Power Utilities market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Algonquin Power Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Algonquin Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Algonquin Power Utilities has 8.52 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is OK given its current industry classification. Algonquin Power Utilities has a current ratio of 0.75, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Algonquin to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.7 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (33.3 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.06 B.
About 63.0% of Algonquin Power shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Algonquin Power Utilities Stock

Algonquin Power Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Algonquin Power's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Algonquin Power's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Algonquin Power daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Algonquin Power Utilities price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Algonquin Power returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Algonquin Power.
Mean Return
-0.16
Value At Risk
-3.18
Potential Upside
2.39
Standard Deviation
1.60
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Algonquin Power historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Algonquin Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Algonquin Power, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Algonquin Power Utilities back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Cibc World Markets Inc.2024-09-30
8.5 M
Federation Des Caisses Desjardins Du Quebec2024-09-30
8.4 M
Manufacturers Life Insurance Co2024-09-30
7.7 M
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-09-30
6.8 M
1832 Asset Management L.p2024-09-30
6.2 M
The Toronto-dominion Bank2024-09-30
5.6 M
Intact Investment Management, Inc.2024-09-30
5.6 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
5.6 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
5.1 M
Starboard Value Lp2024-09-30
62.1 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-09-30
31.1 M
Note, although Algonquin Power's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Algonquin Power Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash42.7M31.4M(60.2M)(25.0M)(22.5M)(21.4M)
Free Cash Flow(280.8M)(1.2B)(469.9M)(398.1M)(358.3M)(340.4M)
Depreciation314.1M403.0M455.5M467.0M537.0M563.9M
Other Non Cash Items(543.6M)133.1M751.8M346.8M398.9M418.8M
Capital Expenditures786.0M1.3B1.1B1.0B1.2B1.2B
Net Income727.8M185.7M(308.2M)(33.3M)(38.3M)(36.4M)
End Period Cash Flow130.0M161.4M101.2M76.1M87.6M45.7M
Dividends Paid262.2M316.1M387.3M330.8M380.4M399.5M
Change To Inventory1.3M(43.2M)(45.2M)(2.2M)(2.0M)(2.1M)
Investments(264.4M)(622.1M)(1.8B)(1.1B)(986.1M)(936.8M)
Net Borrowings566.8M311.2M(61.0M)1.4B1.6B1.6B
Change To Netincome(264.2M)(513.9M)11.7M597.2M686.8M721.1M

Algonquin Power Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Algonquin Power or Multi-Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Algonquin Power's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Algonquin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Algonquin Power Volatility Alert

Algonquin Power Utilities exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.24 and kurtosis of -0.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Algonquin Power's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Algonquin Power's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Algonquin Power Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Algonquin Power's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Algonquin Power's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Algonquin Power and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Algonquin Power or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Algonquin Power's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Algonquin Power by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Algonquin Power to competition
FundamentalsAlgonquin PowerPeer Average
Return On Equity0.041-0.31
Return On Asset0.016-0.14
Profit Margin(0.39) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation11 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding767.23 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.06 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions62.84 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted18.57 M4.71 M
Price To Earning5.61 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.73 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.30 X11.42 X
Revenue2.7 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.06 B27.38 B
EBITDA713.9 M3.9 B
Net Income(33.3 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents85 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.12 X5.01 X
Total Debt8.52 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.77 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.07 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations628.03 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.06 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.54 X3.12 X
Target Price5.39
Number Of Employees3.95 K18.84 K
Beta0.52-0.15
Market Capitalization3.4 B19.03 B
Total Asset18.37 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.28 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(618.84 M)1.48 B
Current Asset305.04 M9.34 B

Algonquin Power Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Algonquin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Algonquin Power Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Algonquin Power Utilities? Buying financial instruments such as Algonquin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Algonquin Power in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Small Growth Funds
Small Growth Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in stocks of small to mid-sized companies with above-average risk and growth rate that usually reinvest their earnings back into business. The Small Growth Funds theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Small Growth Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Algonquin Power Utilities offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Algonquin Power's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Algonquin Power Utilities Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Algonquin Power Utilities Stock:
Check out Algonquin Power Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Multi-Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Algonquin Power. If investors know Algonquin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Algonquin Power listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.998
Dividend Share
0.391
Earnings Share
0.54
Revenue Per Share
3.671
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.015
The market value of Algonquin Power Utilities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Algonquin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Algonquin Power's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Algonquin Power's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Algonquin Power's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Algonquin Power's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Algonquin Power's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Algonquin Power is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Algonquin Power's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.