Arafura Resources Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ARAFF Stock | USD 0.08 0.02 19.00% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Arafura Resources is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Arafura Resources buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ARAFF positions.
Check out Arafura Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arafura and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Arafura Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Arafura |
Execute Arafura Resources Buy or Sell Advice
The Arafura recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arafura Resources. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arafura Resources or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arafura Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Arafura Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Arafura Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arafura Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Arafura Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (35.56 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28.18 M). | |
| Arafura Resources has accumulated about 24.68 M in cash with (27.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Arafura Resources Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Arafura Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arafura Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arafura Resources daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arafura Resources price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arafura Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arafura Resources.
| Mean Return | 0.01 | Value At Risk | -12.5 | Potential Upside | 14.29 | Standard Deviation | 8.21 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arafura Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Arafura Resources Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arafura Resources or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arafura Resources' price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arafura pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Arafura Resources Volatility Alert
Arafura Resources is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Arafura Resources is a penny stock. Although Arafura Resources may be in fact a good investment, many penny pink sheets are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Arafura Resources. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Arafura instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Arafura Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Arafura Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arafura Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arafura Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arafura Resources or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arafura Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arafura Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Arafura Resources to competition |
| Fundamentals | Arafura Resources | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.28 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.17 | -0.14 |
| Current Valuation | 687.65 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.11 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 17.94 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 4.47 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | (12.62) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 7.61 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 651.08 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | (205.65 K) | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (28.18 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (35.23 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (35.56 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 24.68 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.01 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 474.22 K | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.37 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.09 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (27.16 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.01) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 14 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.21 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 931.16 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 143.32 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (107 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 11 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 12 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 1000 K | 7.9 B |
| Net Asset | 143.32 M |
Arafura Resources Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arafura . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.1 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (2.07) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.81 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0856 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0841 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0092 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
About Arafura Resources Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Arafura Resources? Buying financial instruments such as Arafura Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Other Information on Investing in Arafura Pink Sheet
Arafura Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arafura Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arafura with respect to the benefits of owning Arafura Resources security.