Argan SA (France) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ARG Stock  EUR 66.20  0.10  0.15%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Argan SA is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Argan SA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Argan SA positions.
  
Check out Argan SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Argan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Argan SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Argan SA Buy or Sell Advice

The Argan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Argan SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Argan SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Argan SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Argan SABuy Argan SA
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Argan SA has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12), Jensen Alpha of (0.29), Total Risk Alpha of (0.45) and Treynor Ratio of (0.50)
Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on Argan SA that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Argan SA. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Argan SA is not overpriced, please confirm all Argan SA fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, revenue, total debt, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and net income .

Argan SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Argan SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Argan SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Argan SA has accumulated 1.68 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 116.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Argan SA has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Argan SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Argan SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Argan SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Argan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Argan SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 56.0% of Argan SA shares are held by company insiders

Argan SA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Argan SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Argan SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Argan SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Argan SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Argan SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Argan SA.
Mean Return
-0.23
Value At Risk
-2.24
Potential Upside
1.65
Standard Deviation
1.36
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Argan SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Argan SA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Argan SA or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Argan SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Argan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

Argan SA Volatility Alert

Argan SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.02 and kurtosis of 2.68. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Argan SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Argan SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Argan SA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Argan SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Argan SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Argan SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Argan SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Argan SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Argan SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Argan SA to competition
FundamentalsArgan SAPeer Average
Return On Equity0.31-0.31
Return On Asset0.0221-0.14
Profit Margin0.48 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.76 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.51 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding22.95 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders56.08 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions14.28 %39.21 %
Price To Earning4.53 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.73 X9.51 X
Price To Sales9.34 X11.42 X
Revenue185.67 M9.43 B
Gross Profit167.5 M27.38 B
EBITDA699.47 M3.9 B
Net Income668.11 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents23.44 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.41 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.68 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity116.10 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.50 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share106.05 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations172.19 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share28.62 X3.12 X
Target Price81.2
Number Of Employees418.84 K
Beta0.69-0.15
Market Capitalization1.93 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.5 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings41 M9.33 B
Working Capital(11 M)1.48 B
Current Asset89 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities100 M7.9 B
Z Score0.68.72

Argan SA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Argan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Argan SA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Argan SA? Buying financial instruments such as Argan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Argan Stock

Argan SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Argan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Argan with respect to the benefits of owning Argan SA security.