Alliance Resource Partners Stock Market Outlook

ARLP Stock  USD 25.82  0.47  1.85%   
Slightly above 66 percent of all Alliance Resource's retail investors are curious in acquiring. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Alliance Resource Partners stock suggests that quite a few investors are confidant at this time. Alliance Resource's investing sentiment overview a quick insight into current market opportunities from investing in Alliance Resource Partners. Many technical investors use Alliance Resource stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets and to time the market correctly.

Comfort Level 66

 Interested

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Alliance Resource's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Alliance Resource Partners.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Alliance Resource Partners is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Alliance Resource Partners within the specified time frame.

Execute Alliance Resource Advice

The Alliance recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alliance Resource Partners. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alliance Resource Partners or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alliance Resource's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alliance ResourceBuy Alliance Resource
Strong Buy

Market Performance

FairDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

TinyDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Alliance Resource Partners has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0893, Jensen Alpha of 0.0898, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0304, Sortino Ratio of 0.0529 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2146
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Alliance Resource. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Alliance Resource is not overpriced, please confirm all Alliance Resource fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Alliance Resource has a price to earning of 7.18 X, we suggest you to validate Alliance Resource Partners market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alliance Resource Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alliance Resource has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 13th of February 2026 Alliance Resource paid $ 0.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: ING Groep NV Grows Holdings in Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. ARLP - MarketBeat

Alliance Resource Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alliance Resource's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alliance Resource's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alliance Resource daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alliance Resource Partners price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alliance Resource returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Alliance Resource.
Mean Return
0.13
Value At Risk
-2
Potential Upside
1.94
Standard Deviation
1.27
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alliance Resource historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alliance Stock Institutional Investors

The Alliance Resource's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Alliance Resource's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
303.9 K
Nomura Holdings Inc2025-06-30
300 K
Fairbanks Capital Management, Inc.2025-06-30
288.8 K
Crescent Grove Advisors, Llc2025-06-30
260.1 K
Full Sail Capital, Llc2025-06-30
252.2 K
We Are One Seven, Llc2025-06-30
251.7 K
Bienville Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
250.2 K
Swank Energy Income Advisors, Lp2025-06-30
241 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2025-06-30
239.1 K
Progeny 3, Inc.2025-06-30
3.1 M
Magnolia Group, Llc2025-06-30
2.6 M
Note, although Alliance Resource's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alliance Resource Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change In Cash66.8M173.6M(236.2M)77.1M(65.8B)(62.5B)
Free Cash Flow302.2M505.4M362.1M374.4M387.9B407.2B
Other Non Cash Items4.0M22.9M82.6M72.2M657.6B690.5B
Capital Expenditures123.0M286.4M468.6M428.7M263.3B276.4B
Net Income178.8M577.2M611.8M354.9M311.2M216.7M
Change To Inventory(4.7M)(20.1M)(78.0M)(22.2M)(20.0M)(19.0M)
Dividends Paid52.2M190.8M(364.6M)(363.4M)(327.1M)(310.7M)
End Period Cash Flow122.4M296.0M59.8M137.0M71.2B74.8B
Depreciation254.8M273.8M268.0M285.4M299.4M215.6M
Net Borrowings(161.5M)(16.1M)(79.4M)142.8M128.5M134.9M
Change To Netincome108.0M529.7M(14.3M)212.7M191.4M205.9M
Investments(142.7M)(403.3M)(559.7M)(440.7M)(396.6M)(376.8M)

Alliance Resource Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alliance Resource or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alliance Resource's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alliance stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
1.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Alliance Resource Volatility Alert

Alliance Resource Partners has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.26 and kurtosis of 1.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alliance Resource's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alliance Resource's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alliance Resource Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alliance Resource's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alliance Resource's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alliance Resource and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alliance Resource or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alliance Resource's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alliance Resource by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alliance Resource to competition
FundamentalsAlliance ResourcePeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.0835-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.18 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.65 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding128.43 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders29.32 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions17.31 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.16 M4.71 M
Price To Earning7.18 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.77 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.48 X11.42 X
Revenue2.19 B9.43 B
Gross Profit767.86 M27.38 B
EBITDA675.19 M3.9 B
Net Income311.16 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents278.47 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.19 X5.01 X
Total Debt479.96 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.30 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.34 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share14.35 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations651.14 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.16 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.40 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.29 X4.89 X
Target Price30.33
Number Of Employees3.65 K18.84 K
Beta0.29-0.15
Market Capitalization3.26 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.85 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings577.42 M9.33 B
Working Capital280.09 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 64160 shares by Cary Marshall of Alliance Resource subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Alliance Resource Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alliance . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alliance Resource Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alliance Resource Partners? Buying financial instruments such as Alliance Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alliance Resource in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Latest Gainers
Latest Gainers Theme
Dynamically computed list of top equities currently sorted across major exchanges. The Latest Gainers theme has 197 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Latest Gainers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Alliance Stock Analysis

When running Alliance Resource's price analysis, check to measure Alliance Resource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alliance Resource is operating at the current time. Most of Alliance Resource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alliance Resource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alliance Resource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alliance Resource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.