Alliance Resource Partners Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ARLP Stock | USD 27.88 0.22 0.80% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Alliance Resource Partners is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alliance Resource Partners given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Alliance Resource. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alliance Resource Partners, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Alliance Resource Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alliance and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alliance Resource Partners. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Alliance |
Execute Alliance Resource Buy or Sell Advice
The Alliance recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alliance Resource Partners. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alliance Resource Partners or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alliance Resource's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Alliance Resource Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 14th of November 2024 Alliance Resource paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: When Moves Investors should Listen - Stock Traders Daily |
Alliance Resource Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alliance Resource's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alliance Resource's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alliance Resource daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alliance Resource Partners price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alliance Resource returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alliance Resource.
| Mean Return | 0.28 | Value At Risk | -1.23 | Potential Upside | 2.38 | Standard Deviation | 1.24 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alliance Resource historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alliance Stock Institutional Investors
The Alliance Resource's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Alliance Resource's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Adams Asset Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 330.1 K | Fairbanks Capital Management, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 302.7 K | Bienville Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 282 K | Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. | 2024-06-30 | 268.5 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 267.3 K | Full Sail Capital, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 252.2 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 234.2 K | Prescott Group Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 213.2 K | Crescent Grove Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 208.8 K | Magnolia Group, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 3.4 M | Progeny 3, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 2.9 M |
Alliance Resource Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (207.7M) | 19.1M | 66.8M | 173.6M | (236.2M) | (224.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 209.0M | 279.5M | 302.2M | 505.4M | 451.3M | 236.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (162.4M) | 13.9M | 4.0M | 22.9M | 83.0M | 87.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 305.9M | 121.1M | 123.0M | 286.4M | 379.3M | 207.6M | |
| Net Income | 406.9M | (129.1M) | 178.8M | 577.2M | 611.8M | 642.4M | |
| Change To Inventory | (35.1M) | 30.5M | (4.7M) | (20.1M) | 33.3M | 35.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 278.4M | 51.8M | 52.2M | 190.8M | 364.6M | 382.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 36.5M | 55.6M | 122.4M | 296.0M | 59.8M | 90.9M | |
| Depreciation | 312.2M | 464.5M | 254.8M | 273.8M | 268.0M | 213.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | 122.3M | (191.8M) | (161.5M) | (16.1M) | (14.5M) | (13.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 108.0M | 529.7M | (14.3M) | 212.7M | 191.4M | 205.9M | |
| Investments | 136.8M | 988K | (142.7M) | (403.3M) | (559.7M) | (531.7M) |
Alliance Resource Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alliance Resource or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alliance Resource's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alliance stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Alliance Resource Volatility Alert
Alliance Resource Partners has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.2 and kurtosis of 2.9. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alliance Resource's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alliance Resource's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alliance Resource Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alliance Resource's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alliance Resource's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alliance Resource and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alliance Resource or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alliance Resource's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alliance Resource by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alliance Resource to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alliance Resource | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.25 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.19 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.87 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 128.06 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 29.77 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 18.94 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.42 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.18 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.88 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.44 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.57 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.01 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 934.22 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 611.84 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 278.47 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.19 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 350.82 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.30 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.34 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 14.86 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 830.64 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 15.76 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.52 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.04) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 27.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 3.6 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.16 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.57 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.79 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 577.42 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 288.65 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Craft Joseph W Iii of 10564 shares of Alliance Resource subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Alliance Resource Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alliance . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Alliance Resource Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alliance Resource Partners? Buying financial instruments such as Alliance Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Alliance Resource in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Money Market Funds
Funds or Etfs investing in various types of short-term (less than one year) fixed income instruments of high-quality and liquidity. The Money Market Funds theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Money Market Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Alliance Stock Analysis
When running Alliance Resource's price analysis, check to measure Alliance Resource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alliance Resource is operating at the current time. Most of Alliance Resource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alliance Resource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alliance Resource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alliance Resource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.