Arm Holdings Plc Stock Market Outlook
| ARM Stock | 125.28 3.09 2.53% |
About 61% of all Arm Holdings' investors are looking to take a long position. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Arm Holdings plc stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. Arm Holdings' investing sentiment overview a quick insight into current market opportunities from investing in Arm Holdings plc. Many technical investors use Arm Holdings plc stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets and to time the market correctly.
Comfort Level 61
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Arm Holdings' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Arm Holdings plc.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Arm Holdings plc is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Arm Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Execute Arm Holdings Advice
The Arm recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arm Holdings plc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arm Holdings plc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arm Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Arm Holdings plc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), Jensen Alpha of (0.37), Total Risk Alpha of (0.50) and Treynor Ratio of (0.22)Macroaxis provides advice on Arm Holdings plc to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Arm Holdings plc. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Arm Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all Arm Holdings plc fundamentals, including its net income, and the relationship between the price to book and earnings per share . Given that Arm Holdings plc has a shares owned by institutions of 94.45 %, we suggest you to validate Arm Holdings plc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Arm Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Arm Holdings plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arm Holdings plc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Greg Abbott Announces 4.16 Million Boost For Arms Austin Semiconductor Lab |
Arm Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Arm Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arm Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arm Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arm Holdings plc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arm Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Arm Holdings.
| Mean Return | -0.28 | Value At Risk | -4.28 | Potential Upside | 4.96 | Standard Deviation | 2.83 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arm Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Arm Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Investments | (619M) | (138M) | (516M) | (35M) | (40.3M) | (42.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | (210M) | 550M | 369M | 162M | 186.3M | 214.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 383M | 646M | 947M | 178M | 160.2M | 152.2M | |
| Depreciation | 185M | 170M | 162M | 182.9M | 164.6M | 144.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (38M) | 73M | 53M | 1.1B | 1.3B | 1.3B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 75M | 93M | 143M | 219M | 251.9M | 152.9M | |
| Net Income | 549M | 524M | 306M | 792M | 910.8M | 563.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.0B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 2.1B | 2.4B | 1.7B |
Arm Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arm Holdings or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arm Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arm stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Arm Holdings Volatility Alert
Arm Holdings plc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.25 and kurtosis of 4.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arm Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arm Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Arm Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Arm Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arm Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arm Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arm Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arm Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arm Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Arm Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Arm Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0588 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.17 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 129.97 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.06 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.15 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 94.45 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 15.34 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 17.06 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 28.48 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.01 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.55 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 902.9 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 792 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 356 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.34 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 397 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.43 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.75 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.72 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 147.83 | |
| Number Of Employees | 8.33 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 4.37 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 133.05 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 8.93 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3.54 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 3.9 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 8.93 B |
Arm Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arm . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Arm Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Arm Holdings plc? Buying financial instruments such as Arm Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Arm Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Mid Cap ETFs theme has 78 constituents at this time.
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Check out Arm Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Arm diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arm Holdings. If investors know Arm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Arm Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Earnings Share 0.75 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.263 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Arm Holdings plc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Arm's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Arm Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Arm Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Arm Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Arm Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Arm Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.