Asml Holding Nv Stock Market Outlook
| ASML Stock | USD 1,339 56.75 4.07% |
About 55% of ASML Holding's investor base is interested to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading ASML Holding NV stock suggests that many investors are impartial at this time. ASML Holding's investing sentiment shows overall attitude of investors towards ASML Holding NV.
Comfort Level 45
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use ASML Holding's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward ASML Holding NV.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ASML Holding NV is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of ASML Holding's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Execute ASML Holding Advice
The ASML recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ASML Holding NV. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ASML Holding NV or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ASML Holding's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
For the selected time horizon ASML Holding NV has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.109, Jensen Alpha of 0.2735, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1605, Sortino Ratio of 0.1212 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2327Macroaxis provides advice on ASML Holding NV to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on ASML Holding NV. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure ASML Holding is not overpriced, please confirm all ASML Holding NV fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that ASML Holding NV has a price to book of 23.42 X, we suggest you to validate ASML Holding NV market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
ASML Holding Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| ASML Holding NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Alphabet, Amazon, ASML, Micron and Lam Research |
ASML Holding Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of ASML Holding's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ASML Holding's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ASML Holding daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ASML Holding NV price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ASML Holding returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for ASML Holding.
| Mean Return | 0.37 | Value At Risk | -3.74 | Potential Upside | 5.37 | Standard Deviation | 2.65 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ASML Holding historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
ASML Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Fmr Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.5 M | Clearbridge Advisors, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.2 M | Eagle Capital Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.2 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 952.2 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2025-06-30 | 924.4 K | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2025-06-30 | 858.3 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 848 K | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2025-06-30 | 845.1 K | Capital World Investors | 2025-06-30 | 4.4 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 4.2 M |
ASML Holding Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (483.2M) | (2.1B) | (1.6B) | (1.9B) | (1.7B) | (1.7B) | |
| Change In Cash | 902.4M | 316.5M | (17.6M) | 5.3B | 1.7B | 1.8B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 9.9B | 7.2B | 3.2B | 9.5B | 10.6B | 11.2B | |
| Depreciation | 432.8M | 557.3M | 772.4M | 1.0B | 985.4M | 1.0B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.5B | 797.3M | 604.6M | 730.5M | 783.8M | 823.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 900.7M | 1.3B | 2.1B | 2.2B | 1.5B | 1.6B | |
| Net Income | 5.9B | 5.6B | 7.7B | 7.9B | 9.2B | 9.7B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 7.0B | 7.3B | 7.0B | 12.7B | 12.9B | 13.6B | |
| Change To Netincome | 124M | 51.5M | (400.8M) | (162.2M) | (146.0M) | (138.7M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.4B | 2.6B | (2.3B) | (2.6B) | (2.4B) | (2.3B) | |
| Investments | 663.7M | (1.0B) | (2.4B) | (2.6B) | (1.7B) | (1.8B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (12M) | (20.6M) | 245M | (3.2M) | (312.5M) | (296.9M) |
ASML Holding Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ASML Holding or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ASML Holding's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ASML stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
ASML Holding Volatility Alert
ASML Holding NV currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ASML Holding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ASML Holding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.ASML Holding Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing ASML Holding's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ASML Holding's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ASML Holding and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ASML Holding or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ASML Holding's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ASML Holding by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare ASML Holding to competition |
| Fundamentals | ASML Holding | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.5 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.29 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.35 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 550.7 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 388.15 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 18.68 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.36 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 44.67 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 23.42 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 16.59 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 31.38 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 17.26 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 11.94 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 9.23 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.36 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.49 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.71 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.44 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.26 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 59.87 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 12.16 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.92 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 29.17 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.36 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 1487.81 | |
| Number Of Employees | 43.52 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.46 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 541.81 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 50.55 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 14.41 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 6.35 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 7.71 B | 9.34 B |
ASML Holding Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ASML . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 155749.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.63) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1361.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1353.76 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (50.32) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (56.75) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.86 |
ASML Holding Target Price Consensus
ASML target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. ASML Holding's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 40 | Strong Buy |
Most ASML analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand ASML stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of ASML Holding NV, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationASML Holding Target Price Projection
ASML Holding's current and average target prices are 1,339 and 1,488, respectively. The current price of ASML Holding is the price at which ASML Holding NV is currently trading. On the other hand, ASML Holding's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
ASML Holding Market Quote on 5th of February 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On ASML Holding Target Price
ASML Holding Analyst Ratings
ASML Holding's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about ASML Holding stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of ASML Holding's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. ASML Holding's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About ASML Holding Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell ASML Holding NV? Buying financial instruments such as ASML Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out ASML Holding Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ASML Holding. If investors know ASML will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive ASML Holding assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.072 | Dividend Share 7.5 | Earnings Share 29.17 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.049 |
ASML Holding NV's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on ASML's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate ASML Holding's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since ASML Holding's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that ASML Holding's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether ASML Holding represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, ASML Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.