Ascendis Pharma As Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ASND Stock | USD 127.70 5.06 4.13% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ascendis Pharma AS is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Ascendis Pharma buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ASND positions.
Check out Ascendis Pharma Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ascendis and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ascendis Pharma AS. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Ascendis |
Execute Ascendis Pharma Buy or Sell Advice
The Ascendis recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ascendis Pharma AS. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ascendis Pharma AS or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ascendis Pharma's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Ascendis Pharma Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ascendis Pharma AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ascendis Pharma AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 266.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (481.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 39.04 M. | |
| Ascendis Pharma AS currently holds about 955.15 M in cash with (467.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.11. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Ascendis Pharmas SWOT analysis stock faces growth hurdles amid pipeline promise |
Ascendis Pharma Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ascendis Pharma's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ascendis Pharma's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ascendis Pharma daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ascendis Pharma AS price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ascendis Pharma returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ascendis Pharma.
| Mean Return | -0.12 | Value At Risk | -3.56 | Potential Upside | 3.27 | Standard Deviation | 3.23 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ascendis Pharma historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ascendis Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 1.1 M | Adage Capital Partners Gp Llc | 2024-06-30 | 820.5 K | Vestal Point Capital Lp | 2024-06-30 | 750 K | Sofinnova Ventures | 2024-06-30 | 734.3 K | Camber Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 700 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-06-30 | 660.7 K | Spyglass Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 652.8 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-06-30 | 537.8 K | Ra Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 10.1 M | Westfield Capital Management Company, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 5.1 M |
Ascendis Pharma Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (75.4M) | (5.6M) | (5.5M) | (55.3M) | (78.3M) | (74.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | 320.2M | (13.6M) | (138.3M) | (1.5M) | (52.6M) | (50.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (181.1M) | (293.1M) | (441.9M) | (510.2M) | (469.8M) | (446.3M) | |
| Depreciation | 6.7M | 9.4M | 15.4M | 18.0M | 18.9M | 19.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (5.9M) | 86.0M | (67.0M) | 18.6M | 21.0M | 22.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 5.2M | 21.6M | 24.2M | 14.5M | 2.4M | 2.3M | |
| Net Income | (218.0M) | (419.0M) | (383.6M) | (583.2M) | (481.4M) | (457.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 598.1M | 584.5M | 446.3M | 444.8M | 392.2M | 304.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 31.3M | 138.9M | (549K) | 88.2M | 101.4M | 106.4M | |
| Investments | (5.2M) | (291.2M) | (86.3M) | 61.7M | 279.0M | 293.0M |
Ascendis Pharma Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ascendis Pharma or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ascendis Pharma's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ascendis stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Ascendis Pharma Volatility Alert
Ascendis Pharma AS exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.78 and kurtosis of 13.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ascendis Pharma's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ascendis Pharma's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ascendis Pharma Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ascendis Pharma's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ascendis Pharma's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ascendis Pharma and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ascendis Pharma or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ascendis Pharma's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ascendis Pharma by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ascendis Pharma to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ascendis Pharma | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -8.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.28 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (1.54) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (3.70) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.5 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 59.76 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.73 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.27 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.41 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (9.10) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 14.55 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 23.07 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 266.72 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 39.04 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (438.17 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (481.45 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 955.15 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 17.11 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 644.26 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.84 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 9.66 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (2.57) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (467.36 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.50 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (7.86) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 10.25 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 181.98 | |
| Number Of Employees | 879 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.65 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.33 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 825.59 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2.28 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 505.38 M | 1.48 B |
Ascendis Pharma Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ascendis . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Ascendis Pharma Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ascendis Pharma AS? Buying financial instruments such as Ascendis Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Ascendis Pharma Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ascendis Pharma. If investors know Ascendis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ascendis Pharma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (7.86) | Revenue Per Share 5.595 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) | Return On Assets (0.28) | Return On Equity (8.18) |
The market value of Ascendis Pharma AS is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ascendis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ascendis Pharma's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ascendis Pharma's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ascendis Pharma's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ascendis Pharma's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ascendis Pharma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ascendis Pharma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ascendis Pharma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.