Aware Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AWRE Stock  USD 1.50  0.01  0.66%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aware Inc is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Aware buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Aware positions.
  
Check out Aware Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aware and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Aware Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Aware Buy or Sell Advice

The Aware recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aware Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aware Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aware's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AwareBuy Aware
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aware Inc has a Mean Deviation of 2.59, Standard Deviation of 4.06 and Variance of 16.44
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aware Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aware is not overpriced, please confirm all Aware Inc fundamentals, including its revenue, current ratio, and the relationship between the number of shares shorted and cash and equivalents . Please also double-check Aware Inc number of shares shorted to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Aware Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aware Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aware Inc may become a speculative penny stock
Aware Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 18.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.75 M.
Aware Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: Aware Inc CFO David K. Traverse acquires 4,987 in stock

Aware Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aware's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aware's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aware daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aware Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aware returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aware.
Mean Return
-0.57
Value At Risk
-5.52
Potential Upside
6.18
Standard Deviation
4.06
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aware historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aware Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
75.9 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
75 K
Atlantic Trust Group, Llc2024-06-30
70 K
Essex Investment Management Company, Llc2024-09-30
48.7 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
39.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
25.5 K
Gmt Capital Corp2024-06-30
24.6 K
Blair William & Co2024-06-30
22 K
Cambridge Invest Research Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
15.6 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
911.1 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
829.4 K
Note, although Aware's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aware Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(3.9M)(9.2M)(8.6M)(18.2M)(1.7M)(1.7M)
Free Cash Flow(3.1M)(5.8M)(6.3M)(5.8M)1.8M1.9M
Depreciation441K561K687K760K578K666.3K
Other Non Cash Items2.0M118K(64K)(5.4M)2.0M2.1M
Capital Expenditures111K484K27K730K16K15.2K
Net Income(8.3M)(7.6M)(5.8M)(1.7M)(7.3M)(6.9M)
End Period Cash Flow47.7M38.6M30.0M11.7M10.0M9.5M
Change To Inventory(2.0M)(231K)(48K)(479K)(431.1K)(409.5K)
Investments(111K)(2.9M)(2.5M)(12.0M)(3.1M)(3.0M)
Change Receivables615K379K(477K)84K75.6K71.8K
Change To Netincome692K956K1.2M(3.7M)(3.3M)(3.2M)

Aware Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aware or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aware's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aware stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.19
σ
Overall volatility
4.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Aware Volatility Alert

Aware Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.79 and kurtosis of 9.79. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aware's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aware's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aware Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aware's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aware's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aware and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aware or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aware's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aware by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aware to competition
FundamentalsAwarePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.21-0.31
Return On Asset-0.078-0.14
Profit Margin(0.44) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.38) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.94 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding21.2 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders41.33 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions21.54 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted40.35 K4.71 M
Price To Earning49.11 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.00 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.87 X11.42 X
Revenue18.24 M9.43 B
Gross Profit14.75 M27.38 B
EBITDA(6.08 M)3.9 B
Net Income(7.31 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents12.66 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.58 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.47 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.13 %48.70 %
Current Ratio8.99 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.50 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.82 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.03 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.35) X3.12 X
Target Price3.0
Number Of Employees7318.84 K
Beta0.82-0.15
Market Capitalization31.81 M19.03 B
Total Asset46.3 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(65.51 M)9.33 B
Working Capital28.27 M1.48 B
Current Asset56.46 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by David Traverse of 3347 shares of Aware at 1.49 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Aware Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aware . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aware Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aware Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Aware Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aware in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Consumption Thematic Idea Now

Consumption
Consumption Theme
Companies that deliver final goods such as cars or clothing for consumption by consumers. The Consumption theme has 19 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumption Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Aware Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aware's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aware's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aware Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Aware Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aware. If investors know Aware will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aware listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.58)
Earnings Share
(0.35)
Revenue Per Share
0.804
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.40)
Return On Assets
(0.08)
The market value of Aware Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aware that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aware's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aware's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aware's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aware's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aware's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aware is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aware's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.