Avalon Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AWX Stock | USD 3.28 0.02 0.61% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Avalon Holdings is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Avalon Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Avalon Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Avalon Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Avalon Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Avalon Stock please use our How to Invest in Avalon Holdings guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Avalon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Avalon Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
Avalon |
Execute Avalon Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Avalon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Avalon Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Avalon Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Avalon Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Avalon Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Avalon Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Avalon Holdings has 35.02 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.58, which is OK given its current industry classification. Avalon Holdings has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Avalon to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 80.52 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.77 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 13.96 M. | |
| About 38.0% of Avalon Holdings shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Thrivent Financial for Lutherans Sells 13,795 Shares of AvalonBay Communities, Inc. - MarketBeat |
Avalon Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Avalon Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Avalon Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Avalon Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Avalon Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Avalon Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Avalon Holdings.
| Mean Return | 0.46 | Value At Risk | -4.35 | Potential Upside | 4.84 | Standard Deviation | 3.70 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Avalon Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Avalon Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 6.7M | (536K) | (3.1M) | 7.1M | (598K) | (568.1K) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (4.1M) | (2.0M) | (2.1M) | (4.1M) | (1.5M) | (1.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 2.5M | 2.9M | 3.1M | 3.5M | 3.8M | 2.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 27K | 31K | 42K | 82K | 7.5M | 7.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 7.2M | 4.5M | 4.4M | 6.4M | 3.9M | 4.2M | |
| Net Income | (535K) | (46K) | 1.6M | (980K) | (1.8M) | (1.7M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 8.6M | 8.1M | 5.0M | 12.1M | 11.5M | 6.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | (6K) | (793K) | (2.3M) | (361K) | (324.9K) | (308.7K) | |
| Change To Inventory | 7K | (97K) | (195K) | (356K) | (201K) | (211.1K) | |
| Change Receivables | 857K | (2.3M) | 155K | 3.2M | 3.7M | 3.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | 11.0M | 1.7M | (1.4M) | 11.4M | 13.1M | 13.7M | |
| Investments | (7.2M) | (4.5M) | (4.4M) | (6.4M) | (3.9M) | (4.1M) |
Avalon Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Avalon Holdings or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Avalon Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Avalon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Avalon Holdings Volatility Alert
Avalon Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.1 and Jensen Alpha of 0.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Avalon Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Avalon Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Avalon Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Avalon Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Avalon Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Avalon Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Avalon Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Avalon Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Avalon Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Avalon Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Avalon Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0185 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0173 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 43.72 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.29 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 38.43 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 9.14 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.63 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 700.02 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.33 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.15 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 80.52 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 13.96 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.94 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (1.77 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.62 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.84 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 35.02 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.58 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.79 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.88 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.35 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.74 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.25 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 755 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.8 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 12.67 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 89.97 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (22.53 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (3.86 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 16.82 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 24.57 M | 7.9 B |
Note: Acquisition by Kenneth McMahon of 15000 shares of Avalon Holdings at 2.48 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Avalon Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Avalon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Avalon Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Avalon Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Avalon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Avalon Stock Analysis
When running Avalon Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Avalon Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avalon Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Avalon Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avalon Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avalon Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avalon Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.