BASF SE (Germany) Market Outlook

BAS Stock  EUR 50.88  0.54  1.05%   
Slightly above 61% of BASF SE's investor base is looking to short. The current sentiment regarding investing in BASF SE stock implies that many traders are alarmed. BASF SE's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, BASF SE's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.

Comfort Level 39

 Alarmed

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use BASF SE's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward BASF SE.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding BASF SE is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell BASF SE given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for BASF SE, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.

Execute BASF SE Advice

The BASF recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on BASF SE. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in BASF SE or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute BASF SE's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell BASF SEBuy BASF SE
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

TinyDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon BASF SE has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1366, Jensen Alpha of 0.2496, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1376, Sortino Ratio of 0.1306 and Treynor Ratio of 1.33
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement BASF SE trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. Use BASF SE total asset, and the relationship between the price to earnings to growth and working capital to ensure your buy or sell decision on BASF SE is adequate.

BASF SE Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

BASF SE is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years

BASF SE Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of BASF SE's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of BASF SE's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of BASF SE daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use BASF SE price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of BASF SE returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for BASF SE.
Mean Return
0.27
Value At Risk
-2.11
Potential Upside
2.86
Standard Deviation
1.67
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of BASF SE historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

BASF SE Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change To Inventory(3.3B)(2.0B)1.9B222M255.3M268.1M
Investments(2.6B)(3.8B)(1.1B)436M501.4M526.5M
Change In Cash(1.8B)(83M)215M318M286.2M300.5M
Depreciation3.7B4.2B4.9B4.6B5.3B5.0B
Capital Expenditures3.5B4.4B5.4B6.2B7.1B4.7B
Total Cash From Operating Activities7.2B7.7B8.1B6.9B6.3B6.0B
Net Income5.5B(627M)225M1.3B1.2B1.1B
End Period Cash Flow4.3B2.6B2.5B2.9B2.6B2.5B
Free Cash Flow3.7B3.3B2.7B748M673.2M639.5M
Change In Working Capital(1.4B)4.1B2.5B871M1.0B1.1B
Begin Period Cash Flow2.5B4.3B2.6B2.5B2.4B2.5B

BASF SE Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BASF SE or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BASF SE's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BASF stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
1.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

BASF SE Volatility Alert

BASF SE has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.33 and kurtosis of 0.44. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BASF SE's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BASF SE's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

BASF SE Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing BASF SE's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze BASF SE's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between BASF SE and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as BASF SE or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of BASF SE's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BASF SE by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare BASF SE to competition
FundamentalsBASF SEPeer Average
Current Valuation66.48 B16.62 B
Price To Book1.39 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.71 X11.42 X
Revenue65.26 B9.43 B
EBITDA6.11 B3.9 B
Net Income1.3 B570.98 M
Total Debt3.2 B5.32 B
Cash Flow From Operations6.95 B971.22 M
Price To Earnings To Growth1.70 X4.89 X
Market Capitalization54.95 B19.03 B
Total Asset80.42 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings30.88 B9.33 B
Working Capital14.19 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0.05 %
Net Asset80.42 B
Last Dividend Paid3.1

BASF SE Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as BASF . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About BASF SE Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell BASF SE? Buying financial instruments such as BASF Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having BASF SE in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Sport Products Thematic Idea Now

Sport Products
Sport Products Theme
Companies manufacturing sporting goods and accessories. The Sport Products theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Sport Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for BASF Stock Analysis

When running BASF SE's price analysis, check to measure BASF SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BASF SE is operating at the current time. Most of BASF SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BASF SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BASF SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BASF SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.