Bright Horizons Family Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BFAM Stock | USD 117.54 0.13 0.11% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Bright Horizons Family is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Bright Horizons' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Bright Horizons Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Bright and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Bright Horizons Family. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Bright |
Execute Bright Horizons Buy or Sell Advice
The Bright recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Bright Horizons Family. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Bright Horizons Family or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Bright Horizons' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Bright Horizons Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Bright Horizons generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bright Horizons Family currently holds 1.86 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.57, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Bright Horizons Family has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Bright Horizons' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of Bright Horizons shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Discovering Undiscovered Gems in the US Stock Market January 2025 |
Bright Horizons Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Bright Horizons' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Bright Horizons' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Bright Horizons daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Bright Horizons Family price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Bright Horizons returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Bright Horizons.
| Mean Return | -0.17 | Value At Risk | -2.88 | Potential Upside | 2.48 | Standard Deviation | 2.10 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Bright Horizons historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Bright Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Bright Horizons, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bright Horizons Family back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Capital World Investors | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | State Street Corp | 2024-09-30 | 999.3 K | Liontrust Investment Partners Llp | 2024-09-30 | 961 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 924.8 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 865.6 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 758.5 K | Westfield Capital Management Company, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 707.4 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 646.2 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5.3 M | Durable Capital Partners Lp | 2024-09-30 | 4.3 M |
Bright Horizons Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 357.3M | (123.2M) | (213.4M) | 37.6M | 43.2M | 45.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 136.7M | 169.6M | 128.5M | 165.1M | 189.9M | 199.4M | |
| Depreciation | 111.7M | 108.8M | 106.1M | 110.7M | 127.3M | 133.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 31.8M | 22.9M | 23.4M | 48.6M | 55.9M | 58.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 72.8M | 57.7M | 60.0M | 91.0M | 104.7M | 55.5M | |
| Net Income | 27.0M | 70.5M | 80.6M | 74.0M | 85.2M | 56.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 388.5M | 265.3M | 51.9M | 89.5M | 102.9M | 59.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.2M | 35.6M | 40.9M | 39.8M | 45.7M | 48.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 26.6M | 38.8M | 37.5M | 2.6M | 2.3M | 2.2M | |
| Change To Inventory | 10.2M | 8.2M | 10.8M | (6.2M) | (5.6M) | (5.3M) | |
| Investments | (2.7M) | (5.8M) | (278.0M) | (119.1M) | (107.2M) | (112.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | (14.5M) | (15.7M) | (27.5M) | (34.6M) | (31.2M) | (29.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (128.6M) | (13.6M) | (42.4M) | 68M | 61.2M | 58.1M |
Bright Horizons Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bright Horizons or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bright Horizons' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bright stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Bright Horizons Volatility Alert
Bright Horizons Family exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.35 and kurtosis of 19.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bright Horizons' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bright Horizons' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Bright Horizons Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Bright Horizons' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Bright Horizons' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Bright Horizons and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Bright Horizons or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Bright Horizons' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bright Horizons by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Bright Horizons to competition |
| Fundamentals | Bright Horizons | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0909 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0433 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.58 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 58.18 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.06 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.94 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 895.62 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 158.54 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.89 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.61 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.42 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 629.48 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 281.92 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 74.05 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 270.42 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.68 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.86 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.57 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.86 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 24.07 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 256.14 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.54 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.00 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.76 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 136.73 | |
| Number Of Employees | 31.4 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.49 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.85 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.9 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 625.83 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (352.53 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 5000 shares by Mary Tocio of Bright Horizons at 114.706 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Bright Horizons Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Bright . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0166 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.07) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 118.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 118.07 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.98 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.86) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.13) |
About Bright Horizons Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Bright Horizons Family? Buying financial instruments such as Bright Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Bright Horizons Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bright Horizons. If investors know Bright will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bright Horizons listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.362 | Earnings Share 2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.114 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Bright Horizons Family is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bright that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bright Horizons' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bright Horizons' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bright Horizons' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bright Horizons' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bright Horizons' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bright Horizons is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bright Horizons' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.