Biglari Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BH Stock | USD 206.41 2.09 1.00% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Biglari Holdings is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Biglari Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Biglari Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Biglari Stock please use our How to Invest in Biglari Holdings guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Biglari and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Biglari Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
Biglari |
Execute Biglari Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Biglari recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Biglari Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Biglari Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Biglari Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Biglari Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Acquisition by Biglari, Sardar of 384 shares of Biglari Holdings at 207.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Biglari Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Biglari Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Biglari Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Biglari Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Biglari Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Biglari Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Biglari Holdings.
| Mean Return | 0.26 | Value At Risk | -2.6 | Potential Upside | 4.00 | Standard Deviation | 2.21 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Biglari Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Biglari Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Empowered Funds, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 8.7 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 8 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-06-30 | 7.7 K | Los Angeles Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 4.4 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 4 K | Martingale Asset Management L P | 2024-06-30 | 3.3 K | O'shaughnessy Asset Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 3.1 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2.5 K | Gsa Capital Partners Llp | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 K | Biglari Capital Corp. | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 90.9 K |
Biglari Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 15.7M | (41.0M) | 14.0M | (4.9M) | (9.2M) | (8.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 76.0M | 96.9M | 164.2M | 98.1M | 49.6M | 52.1M | |
| Depreciation | 29.6M | 32.2M | 30.1M | 36.4M | 39.0M | 24.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 17.7M | 20.7M | 64.5M | 29.7M | 23.4M | 26.2M | |
| Net Income | 45.4M | (38.0M) | 35.5M | (32.3M) | 54.9M | 57.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 70.7M | 29.7M | 43.7M | 38.8M | 29.7M | 36.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 59.4M | 160.3M | 167.8M | 152.0M | (23.9M) | (22.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 20.9M | 6.7M | 173.0M | 136.1M | 156.5M | 164.4M | |
| Investments | (70.0M) | (6.9M) | (4.1M) | (136.6M) | (66.1M) | (69.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (8.0M) | (23.3M) | (156.2M) | 3.9M | 3.5M | 3.6M |
Biglari Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Biglari Holdings or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Biglari Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Biglari stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Biglari Holdings Volatility Alert
Biglari Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.56 and kurtosis of 5.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Biglari Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Biglari Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Biglari Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Biglari Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Biglari Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Biglari Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Biglari Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Biglari Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Biglari Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Biglari Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Biglari Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0883 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0179 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.14 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 626.73 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.07 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.44 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 83.41 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 9.23 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 0.58 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.06 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.78 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 365.32 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 152.78 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 78.35 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 54.95 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 37.47 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 180.93 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 101.24 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.23 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.09 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 969.66 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 73 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.20 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 35.44 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (12.63) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 500.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.47 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.36 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 644.17 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 849.42 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 631.46 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 41.45 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Biglari, Sardar of 1186 shares of Biglari Holdings at 207.46 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Biglari Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Biglari . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0224 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.45) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 206.15 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 206.24 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 4.68 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.79) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.09) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 70.86 |
About Biglari Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Biglari Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Biglari Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Biglari Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Biglari Stock please use our How to Invest in Biglari Holdings guide.You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Biglari Holdings. If investors know Biglari will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Biglari Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Earnings Share 35.44 | Revenue Per Share 1.3 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0179 |
The market value of Biglari Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Biglari that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Biglari Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Biglari Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Biglari Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Biglari Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Biglari Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Biglari Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Biglari Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.