Birchcliff Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BIR Stock  CAD 5.42  0.10  1.81%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Birchcliff Energy is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Birchcliff Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Birchcliff Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Birchcliff and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Birchcliff Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Birchcliff Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Birchcliff recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Birchcliff Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Birchcliff Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Birchcliff Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Birchcliff EnergyBuy Birchcliff Energy
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Birchcliff Energy has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), Jensen Alpha of (0.15), Total Risk Alpha of (0.47) and Treynor Ratio of 2.28
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Birchcliff Energy. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Birchcliff Energy is not overpriced, please confirm all Birchcliff Energy fundamentals, including its price to book, debt to equity, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and short ratio .

Birchcliff Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Birchcliff Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Birchcliff Energy has accumulated 384.71 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.51, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Birchcliff Energy has a current ratio of 0.26, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Birchcliff Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Birchcliff Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Birchcliff Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Birchcliff to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Birchcliff Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Birchcliff Energy Announces Q3 Results and 2025 Plans - TipRanks

Birchcliff Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Birchcliff Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Birchcliff Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Birchcliff Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Birchcliff Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Birchcliff Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Birchcliff Energy.
Mean Return
-0.15
Value At Risk
-3.7
Potential Upside
3.04
Standard Deviation
2.04
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Birchcliff Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Birchcliff Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Free Cash Flow30.7M(101.5M)284.9M560.7M12.5M13.2M
Depreciation384.8M225.3M215.4M213.8M230.2M126.3M
Capital Expenditures296.3M289.7M230.5M364.6M308.0M268.5M
Net Income(55.4M)(57.8M)314.7M656.8M9.8M9.3M
End Period Cash Flow70K60K63K74K55K52.3K
Other Non Cash Items33.4M25.8M(90.2M)(126.6M)515.3M541.1M
Dividends Paid35.6M18.6M13.5M77.0M213.3M224.0M
Net Borrowings1.5M118.8M(230.5M)(371.5M)(334.4M)(317.7M)
Change To Netincome169.0M23.6M4.7M75.6M86.9M57.5M
Investments(292.0M)(278.7M)(1.3M)(338.5M)(338.9M)(355.8M)

Birchcliff Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Birchcliff Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Birchcliff Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Birchcliff stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
2.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Birchcliff Energy Volatility Alert

Birchcliff Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.24 and kurtosis of 0.9. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Birchcliff Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Birchcliff Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Birchcliff Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Birchcliff Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Birchcliff Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Birchcliff Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Birchcliff Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Birchcliff Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Birchcliff Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Birchcliff Energy to competition
FundamentalsBirchcliff EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0181-0.31
Return On Asset0.0182-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.45 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding269.8 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.55 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions16.73 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted11.89 M4.71 M
Price To Earning13.25 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.67 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.23 X11.42 X
Revenue700.62 M9.43 B
Gross Profit1.13 B27.38 B
EBITDA351.48 M3.9 B
Net Income9.78 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents60 K2.7 B
Total Debt384.71 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.51 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.27 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.33 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations320.53 M971.22 M
Short Ratio11.20 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.06 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.44) X4.89 X
Target Price6.54
Number Of Employees21818.84 K
Beta1.92-0.15
Market Capitalization1.46 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.25 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings691.59 M9.33 B
Working Capital(10.52 M)1.48 B
Current Asset26.05 M9.34 B

Birchcliff Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Birchcliff . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Birchcliff Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Birchcliff Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Birchcliff Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Birchcliff Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Birchcliff Stock

Birchcliff Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Birchcliff Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Birchcliff with respect to the benefits of owning Birchcliff Energy security.