Biovie Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BIVI Stock  USD 3.05  0.06  1.93%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Biovie Inc is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Biovie's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Biovie Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Biovie and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Biovie Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Execute Biovie Buy or Sell Advice

The Biovie recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Biovie Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Biovie Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Biovie's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell BiovieBuy Biovie
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Abnormally volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Biovie Inc has a Mean Deviation of 7.37, Semi Deviation of 10.68, Standard Deviation of 16.83, Variance of 283.28, Downside Variance of 143.76 and Semi Variance of 113.98
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Biovie Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Biovie is not overpriced, please confirm all Biovie Inc fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the net income and target price . Given that Biovie Inc has a price to earning of 18.12 X, we suggest you to validate Biovie Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Biovie Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Biovie Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Biovie Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Biovie Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (32.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Biovie Inc currently holds about 18.64 M in cash with (27.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.62.
Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: BioVie files to sell 7.71M shares of common stock for holders

Biovie Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Biovie's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Biovie's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Biovie daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Biovie Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Biovie returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Biovie.
Mean Return
1.07
Value At Risk
-9.39
Potential Upside
11.91
Standard Deviation
16.83
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Biovie historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Biovie Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Financial Perspectives Inc2024-09-30
59.0
Albion Financial Group (utah)2024-06-30
50.0
New York State Common Retirement Fund2024-06-30
35.0
Jaffetilchin Investment Partners, Llc2024-09-30
21.0
Sanctuary Wealth Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.0
Spire Wealth Management2024-09-30
0.0
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Good Life Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
0.0
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
56.8 K
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2024-06-30
53.7 K
Note, although Biovie's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Biovie Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(302.7K)4.5M14.1M819.2K4.4M2.3M
Net Borrowings(244.3K)1.3M(1.4M)14.6M16.8M17.6M
Free Cash Flow(1.6M)(10.5M)(19.0M)(40.3M)(27.9M)(26.5M)
Other Non Cash Items4.8M124.9M(2.1M)1.0B(627.1K)(595.8K)
Net Income(16.7M)(130.2M)(26.1M)(50.3M)(32.1M)(33.7M)
End Period Cash Flow37.2K4.5M18.6M19.5M23.8M25.0M
Change To Netincome14.0M119.5M2.5M9.9M11.4M16.2M
Dividends Paid48.7K17.1M53.6M886.4K1.0M968.4K

Biovie Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Biovie or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Biovie's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Biovie stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
16.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Biovie Volatility Alert

Biovie Inc is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Biovie's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Biovie's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Biovie Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Biovie's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Biovie's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Biovie and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Biovie or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Biovie's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Biovie by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Biovie to competition
FundamentalsBioviePeer Average
Return On Equity-2.08-0.31
Return On Asset-0.67-0.14
Current Valuation37.89 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding17.77 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders13.69 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions9.98 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.92 M4.71 M
Price To Earning18.12 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.85 X9.51 X
EBITDA(31.95 M)3.9 B
Net Income(32.12 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents18.64 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.62 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.11 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity3.34 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.50 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.50 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(27.95 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.15 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(5.08) X3.12 X
Target Price5.0
Number Of Employees1418.84 K
Beta0.9-0.15
Market Capitalization54.19 M19.03 B
Total Asset25.21 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(334.23 M)9.33 B
Working Capital19.55 M1.48 B
Current Asset9 K9.34 B
Current Liabilities961 K7.9 B
Net Asset25.21 M
Note: Acquisition by Berman Richard J of 51830 shares of Biovie subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Biovie Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Biovie . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Biovie Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Biovie Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Biovie Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Biovie in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Petroleum and Natural Gas Thematic Idea Now

Petroleum and Natural Gas
Petroleum and Natural Gas Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Petroleum and Natural Gas theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Petroleum and Natural Gas Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Biovie Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Biovie's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Biovie Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Biovie Inc Stock:
Check out Biovie Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Biovie. If investors know Biovie will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Biovie listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(5.08)
Return On Assets
(0.67)
Return On Equity
(2.08)
The market value of Biovie Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Biovie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Biovie's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Biovie's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Biovie's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Biovie's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Biovie's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Biovie is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Biovie's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.