Brookdale Senior Living Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BKD Stock  USD 5.56  0.08  1.46%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Brookdale Senior Living is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Brookdale Senior buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BKD positions.
  
Check out Brookdale Senior Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Brookdale and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Brookdale Senior Living. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Execute Brookdale Senior Buy or Sell Advice

The Brookdale recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Brookdale Senior Living. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Brookdale Senior Living or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Brookdale Senior's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Brookdale SeniorBuy Brookdale Senior
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Brookdale Senior Living has a Mean Deviation of 1.93, Standard Deviation of 2.83 and Variance of 8.01
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Brookdale Senior Living. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Brookdale Senior is not overpriced, please confirm all Brookdale Senior Living fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, ebitda, book value per share, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share . Given that Brookdale Senior Living has a number of shares shorted of 10.04 M, we suggest you to validate Brookdale Senior Living market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Brookdale Senior Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Brookdale Senior generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Brookdale Senior has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Brookdale Senior Living has 4.73 B in debt. Brookdale Senior Living has a current ratio of 0.86, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Brookdale to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.87 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (189.07 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 685 M.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: CVS Health Announces Board Appointments

Brookdale Senior Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Brookdale Senior's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Brookdale Senior's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Brookdale Senior daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Brookdale Senior Living price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Brookdale Senior returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Brookdale Senior.
Mean Return
-0.31
Value At Risk
-4.56
Potential Upside
3.19
Standard Deviation
2.83
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Brookdale Senior historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Brookdale Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
4.9 M
State Street Corp2024-06-30
4.5 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
4.4 M
Antipodes Partners Limited2024-09-30
4.1 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-06-30
3.6 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
3.2 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
M
Victory Capital Management Inc.2024-09-30
2.8 M
Glenview Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
2.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
19.3 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
18.5 M
Note, although Brookdale Senior's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Brookdale Senior Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Depreciation383.5M365.7M345.1M353.9M350.4M342.5M
Other Non Cash Items31.7M(418.0M)(296.3M)(84.1M)(58.6M)(55.7M)
Capital Expenditures304.1M185.9M176.7M196.9M233.2M227.8M
Net Income(268.5M)81.9M(99.4M)(238.3M)(189.1M)(198.5M)
End Period Cash Flow301.7M465.1M438.3M474.5M349.7M193.2M
Change In Cash(148.5M)163.5M(26.8M)36.2M(124.9M)(118.6M)
Free Cash Flow(87.7M)19.8M(271.3M)(193.6M)(70.3M)(73.8M)
Change To Inventory13.0M(27.3M)54.0M21.6M19.5M18.5M
Investments(12.8M)(101.9M)22.4M135.8M(145.7M)(138.4M)
Change Receivables292K24.3M502K(4.6M)(5.3M)(5.1M)
Net Borrowings(113.2M)404.6M(88.6M)(34.0M)(39.1M)(41.1M)
Change To Netincome66.2M(263.1M)(289.9M)(26.6M)(24.0M)(22.8M)

Brookdale Senior Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Brookdale Senior or Health Care Providers & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Brookdale Senior's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Brookdale stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.63
σ
Overall volatility
2.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Brookdale Senior Volatility Alert

Brookdale Senior Living exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.32 and kurtosis of 5.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Brookdale Senior's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Brookdale Senior's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Brookdale Senior Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Brookdale Senior's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Brookdale Senior's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Brookdale Senior and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Brookdale Senior or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Brookdale Senior's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brookdale Senior by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Brookdale Senior to competition
FundamentalsBrookdale SeniorPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.53-0.31
Return On Asset0.0072-0.14
Profit Margin(0.07) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding199.21 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted10.04 M4.71 M
Price To Earning11.11 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.73 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.37 X11.42 X
Revenue2.87 B9.43 B
Gross Profit685 M27.38 B
EBITDA369.29 M3.9 B
Net Income(189.07 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents398.85 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.08 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.73 B5.32 B
Current Ratio0.88 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.47 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations162.92 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.63 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.93) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.75) X4.89 X
Target Price7.38
Number Of Employees25.2 K18.84 K
Beta1.33-0.15
Market Capitalization1.09 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.57 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(3.84 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(121.75 M)1.48 B
Current Asset497.94 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 48709 shares by Steven Swain of Brookdale Senior at 3.29 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Brookdale Senior Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Brookdale . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Brookdale Senior Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Brookdale Senior Living? Buying financial instruments such as Brookdale Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Recycling Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Recycling Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Brookdale Senior Living is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Brookdale Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Brookdale Senior Living Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Brookdale Senior Living Stock:
Check out Brookdale Senior Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brookdale Senior. If investors know Brookdale will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brookdale Senior listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.93)
Revenue Per Share
13.041
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.037
Return On Assets
0.0072
Return On Equity
(0.53)
The market value of Brookdale Senior Living is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brookdale that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brookdale Senior's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brookdale Senior's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brookdale Senior's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brookdale Senior's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brookdale Senior's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brookdale Senior is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brookdale Senior's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.